U.S. will take a long time to dig out of this hole

General Angela Calla 8 Aug

By David Olive Business Columnist

How to put this politely? While not a deadbeat, the U.S. is no longer among the world’s most creditworthy nations. America now has a lower credit rating than Liechtenstein. And the Toronto-Dominion Bank.

Mind you, that’s a matter of opinion.

On Friday, U.S. credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s for the first time in 70 years stripped the world’s largest economy of its top, triple-A rating on America’s $14.3 trillion in government debt. S&P dropped its rating a notch, to AA-plus.

But the two other members of the U.S. ratings oligopoly, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings, earlier in the week reconfirmed their top rating on U.S. debt.

Just 16 of the 126 nations whose debt is rated by S&P earn its coveted triple-A rating, Canada among them.

For S&P, last week’s panicky, acrimonious budget-cutting deal that narrowly averted a first-ever default by Washington was a factor in its U.S. debt downgrade.

“(S&P’s) conclusion was pretty much motivated by all of the debate about the raising of the debt ceiling,” John Chambers, chairman of S&P’s sovereign ratings committee, told The Wall Street Journal Friday.

“It involved a level of brinkmanship greater than what we had expected.”

A furious Obama administration pleaded with S&P to hold off on its announcement for a few weeks of further assessment, arguing that such a historic decision should be free of political considerations. But S&P was having none of that.

In S&P’s view, the intransigence of hard-right U.S. deficit hawks, notably the so-called Tea Partiers, is highly relevant in determining a nation’s ability or willingness to honour its debt obligations.

“The kind of debate we’ve seen over the debt ceiling has made us think the United States is no longer in the top echelon on its political settings.” That’s Chambers’ gentle way of saying that America’s political class can no longer be relied upon to expertly manage the nation’s finances.

China’s central banker, Zhou Xiaochuan, was a little blunter, depicting the Americans as a threat to the world economy. “Big fluctuations and uncertainty in the U.S. Treasury market will influence the stability of international monetary and financial systems, thus hurting the global economic recovery,” the chief of the People’s Bank of China said last week.

China, the world’s largest creditor nation, holds about $2 trillion worth of U.S.-denominated securities.

For years, the U.S. has been hectoring Beijing on everything from its allegedly overvalued currency to human rights abuses to intellectual property theft.

You can sense Zhou relishing this moment to return fire: “We hope that the U.S. government and the Congress will take concrete and responsible policy measures . . . to properly deal with its debt issues, so as to ensure smooth operation of the Treasury market and investor safety.”

Stop playing with matches, is Beijing’s humiliating admonition to the U.S. And really, there’s no snappy comeback to that, although the state Xinhua News Agency was piling it on in labelling the recent Washington budget debate a “madcap farce” (we know, we know) and U.S. debt a “ticking bomb.”

Typically, a lower debt rating means steeper borrowing costs, for consumers, business and government. Debt issuers must offer a higher rate of interest to attract buyers of higher-risk securities.

But hold on.

As noted, S&P is an “outlier” in banishing the U.S. from the triple-A club. Also, the U.S. owes most of its debt to itself. Less than one-third of U.S. government debt is held by foreigners, while most of crisis-stricken Greece’s debt is owed to offshore lenders. And U.S. Treasurys are still unmatched as a safe store of value for investors worldwide.

Yet for many economic observers, S&P’s move is overdue.

Across a range of factors — including anemic GDP growth, still-declining house values, a 9.1 per cent jobless rate, stagnant middle-class incomes and recent inflation in food, gasoline and apparel prices — the U.S. economy has been underperforming for years. Layering unmanageable debt atop that plethora of sickly leading indicators made a U.S. debt downgrade inevitable.

Felix Salmon, the top economics analyst who blogs at Reuters, expects the U.S. has lost its triple-A rating forever. “If we came that close to defaulting,” Salmon writes, “there’s no way that our securities can be risk-free.” The downgrade, he says, is “merely a late-to-the-party recognition of that fact.”

I don’t know about forever. But it will take a lot of convincing for S&P to restore America’s membership in the triple-A fraternity. We should know. S&P downgraded Canada in 1992, when we seemed blasé about a record $43 billion deficit.

Not until Canada was well into its 11-year run of consecutive budget surpluses — unmatched by any G8 nation — did S&P deign to restore our triple-A status, in 2002.

Elapsed time: nine years and nine months. http://www.thestar.com/news/world/article/1035722–olive-u-s-will-take-a-long-time-to-dig-out-of-this-hole

A short term solution for the US?

General Angela Calla 3 Aug

The US stepped back from the brink of default on Tuesday, but congressional approval of a last-ditch deficit-cutting plan failed to dispel fears of a credit downgrade and future tax and spending feuds.

 President Barack Obama and lawmakers from across the political divide expressed relief over the hard-won compromise to raise the country’s borrowing authority after weeks of rancorous partisan battles.

Nevertheless, US stocks tumbled, turning negative for the year, as investors shifted their attention to the increasingly grim state of the US economy and the potential for a downgrade of America’s gold-plated debt rating.

That risk grew when one of the three major ratings agencies said it was affirming the US government’s AAA-rated sovereign debt but slapping it with a negative outlook.

 

Click here to read more from Reuters.

5 Smart Steps every new homeowner should take

General Angela Calla 3 Aug

Turning the key in a lock that no landlord has access to, reading in a hammock in your own backyard and painting your dining room bright red – what could be more exciting than making the leap from renter to first-time homeowner?

Getting swept up in all the excitement is a wonderful feeling, but some first-time homeowners lose their heads and make mistakes that can jeopardize everything they’ve worked so hard to earn.

Don’t be one of those people – take a few moments to ponder the Globe and Mail’s Five smart steps every new homeowner should take that will help ensure that your first home becomes the place of luxury and financial freedom you’ve anticipated.

 

Lower Fixed Mortgage Rates Coming

General Angela Calla 3 Aug

Yields crash = lower fixed mortgage rates coming. The five-year bond yield nose-dived 16 bps yesterday, crashing through “support” at 2%. It’s the biggest plunge in yields since March 2009.

 

Yields are hurtling lower in response to a slew of negatives, including:

  • “Austerity measures” (spending cuts) built into Congress’ debt agreement. Those will drag on Canada’s economy
  • Weaker economic data out of the US (like Monday’s brutal ISM number)
  • Ongoing angst about the euro-debt dilemma

 

On a positive note, global investors are now finding Canadian treasuries far more appetizing – due, in part, to Canada’s AAA debt rating, budgetary prudence and stable currency. That has sparked a money rotation into Canada, adding to yesterday’s bond buying. (When investors bid up Canadian government bonds, our yields drop.)

 

Appraisal VS Home Inspection

General Angela Calla 1 Aug

Both an appraisal and a home inspection are important steps of the home-buying process, so it’s well worth your effort to distinguish the differences between them and how they can uncover detailed information about the home’s value and condition.  

Appraisal
Essentially, home appraisal is a survey activity performed by a professional in order to develop an expert opinion on the market value of a real estate property. Home appraisal is usually done for a lending company or a bank as a prerequisite for the approval of a mortgage application by a homebuyer.

The essential elements of a home appraisal report include information and data related to the overall condition of the property, the neighbourhood, variables that contribute to the sale of similar homes and the time spent in selling similar properties. The appraisal report

 

may be presented as a comparable sales analysis or a cost assessment of value.

Home Inspection
A home inspection is not used to determine property value, but will provide an assessment of the physical condition of a property. A well-trained home inspector will perform a comprehensive visual inspection to determine the condition of the building and all of its major systems (roof, structural, heating, plumbing and electrical systems, etc).

While an appraisal is intended to provide the lender with sufficient information to decide on mortgage financing, a home inspection will hopefully reveal to a potential homebuyer whether the building and its systems are in sound working order.

If there are outstanding issues, a good inspector will provide the potential purchaser with a schedule outlining the estimated costs and a timeline detailing when these repairs will need to be completed.

 
Angela Calla, AMP
Dominion Lending Centres-Angela Calla
604-802-3983
Host of The Mortgage Show Saturdays @ 7pm on CKNW AM980

Selecting the right mortgage term

General Angela Calla 1 Aug

Selecting the mortgage term that’s right for you can be a challenging proposition for even the savviest of homebuyers, as terms typically range from six months up to 10 years.

By understanding mortgage terms and what they mean in dollars and sense, you can save the most money and choose the term that is best suited to your specific needs.

The first consideration when comparing various mortgage terms is to understand that a longer term generally means a higher corresponding interest rate. And, a shorter term generally means a lower corresponding interest rate. While this generalization may lead you to believe that a shorter term is always the preferred option, this isn’t always the case. Sometimes there are other factors – either in the financial markets or in your own life – that you will also have to take into consideration when selecting the length of your mortgage term.

If paying your mortgage each month places you close to the financial edge of your comfort zone, you may want to opt for a longer mortgage term, such as five or 10 years, so that you can ensure that you will be able to afford your mortgage payments should interest rates increase.

 

By the end of a five- or 10-year mortgage term, most buyers are in a better financial situation, have a lower outstanding principal balance and, should interest rates have risen throughout the course of your term, will be able to afford higher mortgage payments.

If you’re shopping for a mortgage for an investment property, you will likely want to consider choosing a longer mortgage term – depending, of course, on your overall plan. This will allow you to know that the mortgage payments on the property will be steady for a long time and enable you to more accurately project your future income from the property.

As well, if you know you will not be staying in the same home for the next five or 10 years, opting for a shorter term can save you significant fees when it comes to early payout penalties.

Choosing the right mortgage term is a unique decision for each individual. By understanding your personal financial situation and your tolerance for risk, I can assist you in choosing the mortgage term that will work best for your situation.

As Always if you have any questions or would like to review your mortgage we are here to help.

Angela Calla, AMP

Dominion Lending Centres-Angela Calla

604-802-3983

acalla@dominionlending.ca

Host of The Mortgage Show Saturdays @ 7pm on CKNW AM980

Global debt affects us in 2 ways

General Angela Calla 27 Jul

The debt problems of the global financial system are your problems. So pay down your credit card, credit line and mortgage. Making your household balance sheet tidier has the fortunate spillover effect of saving our economy. 

From what? Just look at what’s happening in the US: The housing market is a disaster, weak consumer spending has crippled the economy, and politicians are grappling with how to fix things through a mix of government spending cuts and tax increases. 

 The Bank of Canada gave you another reason to get your debts in line last week, when it signalled, in its typically obscure way, that interest rates will rise in the foreseeable future. The bank did this by deleting the world “eventually” from a discussion of rate increases. 

 Rising rates will hit you in two stages. The first is instant – when the central bank raises its overnight rate, the major banks increase their prime lending rates by an identical amount. That, in turn, means higher interest charges for people with variable-rate mortgages, lines of credit and floating rate loans. 

 

Click here for more from the Globe and Mail.

 

Stay Variable or lock in?

General Angela Calla 27 Jul

With anticipated interest rate increases on the horizon, many homeowners are wondering whether to lock debt such as mortgages and secured lines of credit into a fixed-rate mortgage or stay variable. 

 Even some who are mortgage free are concerned with how rate increases will impact secured lines of credit, the financing of vacation homes and recreational property.

 First-time buyers may be particularly concerned with entering an expensive real estate market. As a first-time homebuyer, it’s essential to figure out what you can afford. A quick rule of thumb is that your household expenses should not add up to more than 40% of your pre-tax household income. Household expenses include mortgage payments, property taxes, condo fees, utility and heating costs, and any payments on other loans such as car loans, credit card debt and lines of credit.

 Probably the first step should be to get a copy of your credit history from Equifax Canada and TransUnion. As this is what lenders will look at, it’s important to review its accuracy.

 

Click here for the full Ottawa Citizen article.

Experts encouraging home ownership

General Angela Calla 27 Jul

Owning the roof over your head should still be a goal for most Canadians as paying rent is like paying someone else’s mortgage, experts say. 

 

The Bank of Canada gave its clearest signal last week that interest rates are set to rise, while a growing number of real estate watchers and some economists are forecasting property prices will decline.

 

Given such a scenario, some first-time buyers may be tempted to hold off on what’s likely to be one of the biggest purchases of their lives, though that may be a mistake.

 

Click here to read the full Money article.

Real Estate Investing & Mortgage Tips- Angela Calla

General Angela Calla 26 Jul

 

If you’ve been thinking about investing in real estate, there are some important things to keep in mind when it comes to where you decide to invest, how best to position your mortgage and why it’s important not simply to seek the lowest available rate.

 As always, location is a key component to any real estate purchase. You want to see the official community plan, current re-zonings, and investment from developers and the city. These details will help you understand how many more buildings are being erected in the area, as this could affect the view or quality of living for a tenant.

Other considerations include what improvements are being made to the area (roads, bridges, entertainment facilities, etc), proximity to transit, malls, hospitals, schools and major roads, as well as strata bylaws (for rental restrictions).

Why the lowest rate may not always be the best

When it comes to mortgage rates, cheaper may not always be better – for both investment and personal residential purposes.

When it comes to the type of mortgage you select – fixed or variable – some lenders do offer the ability to have your broker assist you with lock-in to ensure the best rate. For rental properties, however, some lenders restrict the products they allow.

Longer amortization is better when building a real estate portfolio for future qualifying purposes, so you don’t have to redo your other mortgages at a later date for an added expense. If paying your mortgage(s) off faster is important to you, ensure you use prepayment privileges. Also remember that the interest you pay on rental properties is 100% tax deductable.

Various mortgage terms, such as a lower down payment, larger rental offset ability, mortgage structure (saver mortgage where your principal portion is re-advanceable to assist you with down payments for future purchases) are also important considerations.

For rental offsets, keep in mind that different lenders allow different offsets, which will affect you when you’re looking to add to your portfolio.

Accredited Mortgage Professional (AMPs) look for the overall best long-term mortgage solution for each client. In today’s market, the lowest rate is not the best option for many borrowers and often costs them more in the long run. Having a proactive AMP is the solution to a borrower saving the most amount of money on their mortgages, as lenders are often not focused on proactive solutions because these options aren’t as profitable for the banks’ shareholders.

Tune into The Mortgage Show Saturdays at 7pm on CKNW with Angela Calla to learn more important tips on your mortgage.