October 2025 Newsletter

General Angela Calla 7 Oct

Welcome to the October issue of my monthly newsletter!

PSL (or pumpkin spice latte for the unfamiliar) season is in full swing and love it or hate it, a 20-million-latte-strong annual sales figure (for Starbucks alone!) is a cultural phenomenon. It’s undeniably the flavour of fall in North America, supporting a billion-dollar plus industry and blanketing a massive cross-section of products. Heck, if there was a PSL mortgage, I’d be selling it. Whether you’re picking up that pumpkin party-in-your-mouth beverage to get you through a house hunting expedition, to power you up to replace an appliance at home, or just to enjoy while reading this newsletter – you’re not alone. My question to you is – are you a PSL purist, a seasonal treat sampler, or immune to the pull of the pumpkin altogether?!

Don’t Get Spooked! First-Time Homebuyer Tips for a Smooth Process

Buying your first home – no matter what your age – is a significant life event. It can bring up all kinds of stresses, both financially and emotionally. Being prepared for what’s to come can put your mind at ease. So, as an expert in the process, here are my best tips to minimize stress, and avoid hiccups and surprises throughout the process.

  1. Set Limits: Allot a maximum amount of time for house shopping and scrolling on socials, websites, etc. per day. Don’t get overwhelmed by browsing homes for hours on end, listening to everything you hear on social media, etc.
  2. Build Your Team: You’ll need a real estate agent you’re comfortable working with, a lawyer to review documents, a thorough home inspector, and a mortgage broker to get your financing in order. It’s okay to meet a few of each profession and make sure you get the right team lined up. Asking for a referral is a great way to find that perfect someone.
  3. Get Pre-Qualified & Pre-Approved: Using a mortgage calculator (or downloading my app) will help you determine what mortgage payments and subsequent home shopping budget you’d qualify for. A pre-approval looks more carefully at your credit score and income, giving you an estimate what a bank would lend YOU. A mortgage broker is the perfect person to help you get it.
  4. Create a Budget – And Stick to It: Once you know what your downpayment and ongoing mortgage payments will be, you’ve got to also consider the other costs of buying a home (like an inspection, moving, closing fees, legal fees, etc.). Know how much cash upfront you’ll need and don’t overspend leading up to a home purchase.
  5. Spend Time in Prospective Neighbourhoods: It’ll minimize surprises about the neighbours and habits of the residents, plus you’ll get familiar with routines like school buses, playground zones, garbage days and more.
  6. Lower Your Expectations: Thinking you’ll a home that’s 100% perfect, at the price you want, with no one else bidding on it… well that’s not very realistic. So set out the absolute must-haves, consider what you can compromise on, and don’t get too wrapped up in just one house. Take your time and wait for one that fits your budget and your (lowered) expectations.
  7. Monotask: If you’re trying to choose between houses, calculate expenses, hire a mover, rent a carpet cleaner, and declutter your home all at once, you’ll become scattered and ineffective. Instead of multitasking and trying to get everything done at once, pick just one task at a time and work on that exclusively.
  8. Try a Daily Affirmation: Choose something “I am making good financial decisions every day to support buying a home” or “I remain optimistic about finding my future home” or “I trust that my realtor is working in my best interest” and repeat it when you feel stress over the purchase, process, or whatever else is bothering you.
  9. Enlist a Support System: If you’re feeling overwhelmed, lean on someone for support. That might be your broker if you’re confused about a process or requirement or a friend who recently bought a house to confirm their experience. It might even be your family or friends to vent or a gym buddy to get a stress-relieving workout in. Don’t ignore the stress as it can build throughout the process.
I hope these tips help you with your next home purchase – and please share them if you know someone who’s going through it too!
Go Green: Home Appliance Upgrades to Save Money and Energy
Did you know that appliances and electronics account for up to 23% of the average monthly electricity bill? The biggest culprits are your fridge (coming in at around 4% of the total bill), and your washer and dryer (coming in at around 3.5% of the total bill). We’re all looking to save some cash where we can, so let’s look at some ways to reduce that monthly energy bill from our appliances and electronics.

Option 1: Use Existing Appliances Smarter

Now I don’t recommend unplugging your fridge or wearing filthy clothes – but there are a few ways to get your appliance and electronics energy use down. First up, in warmer months, line dry your clothes to skip the dryer altogether. Next, clean your existing appliances – from the fridge coils to the lint traps, a clean machine is an efficient machine.

For your electronics, turn off your TV and computer when you’re not using them or use a smart power bar to plug them in. I know there’s plenty of us who just close the laptop at 5pm but taking that extra second to turn it off every day adds up. You can also turn down screen brightness and turn off standby modes.

Option 2: Upgrading Appliances

Looking to replace an old appliance with an energy efficient one this year? It’s a great investment in your home, even if you plan to sell in the next few years. The ROI on new appliances is 60-80% – and that doesn’t even include the cost savings you get each month on your bill. If you’re serious about an appliance upgrade, here are the best of the best Energy Star certified products in each appliance category for 2025.

One thing to look for in a new appliance is that Energy Star logo and certification. The logo is that light blue (or black) box with a white star and cursive ‘energy’. The certification is the manufacturer’s assurance that the product meets Federal Government standards for minimum energy performance standards, typically defined as 10-65% more efficient that traditional models (depending on the appliance and scenario). The program is run by Natural Resources Canada and has been in place since 2001.

What About Other Improvements?

Of course, there are many improvements you could make to your home to improve energy efficiency – from upgrading the HVAC system to installing energy efficient windows and doors. In fact, a bigger investment in these areas might be even more cost effective since heating your home accounts for the biggest portion of the average energy bill by far. For those of you who’ve gotten a CMHC insured mortgage in the past 2 years there’s an even bigger incentive to take the plunge. If you’ve upgraded your appliances in that mortgaged home, you can submit an application to the CMHC to get up to 25% of your CHMC insurance fees back! Read more details on that program or give me a call to discuss.

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

Reports from local real estate boards and incoming data indicate the number of homes changing hands continued to increase from this year’s lows posted in April. The August data suggest that national home sales have risen for the fifth consecutive month. However, location is everything in the housing market, and the pace of sales varies widely across the country.

Hardest hit by unaffordability and condo overbuilding, the extended GTA—The Golden Horseshoe — suffered the most in the downturn and is expected to suffer the most from the US tariffs. The auto and steel sectors have already endured substantial layoffs, and household surveys suggest that the fear of being laid off in the next year has risen meaningfully.

 

Parts of BC have also seen a decline in activity, with prices falling, but not to the same extent as in Ontario. Balanced, if sometimes tight, conditions are driving property values higher in most of the Prairies, Quebec and parts of Atlantic Canada. In contrast, high inventory is depressing values in Ontario and British Columbia. Toronto experienced what we believe will be a temporary pause in August, following its gradual upturn.

These developments are in line with our view that rebuilding market confidence will support a slow recovery in the second half of 2025 and set the stage for stronger demand in 2026. There is pent-up demand for housing, and sellers are motivated. Many have been on the market for months, and reality has seeped in. Prices have fallen.

Local data shows that the MLS Home Price Index has fallen again in Toronto, Hamilton, Calgary, Edmonton, the Fraser Valley, and Vancouver—all of which are being weighed down by abundant inventory.

Strong construction has contributed most to the inventory build-up in Calgary and Edmonton.

The Toronto area took a breather in August after four months of solid advances. Home resales dipped slightly by 1.8% from July, seasonally adjusted, with continued softness in condos weighing on activity. Resales were up 2.3% year-over-year.

Falling interest rates, recent price drops, higher inventory and easing trade war concerns will gradually drive up activity.

The mild and broad price correction continued last month. The area’s composite MLS HPI edged 0.1% lower from July seasonally adjusted to $978,100—extending a year-long downtrend.

The condo price index fell the most, -7% from a year ago, but all categories saw a correction, including single-detached family homes (-5.6%).

We expect property values to continue falling while the market regains a firmer footing. But, affordability—while improving—will remain a big issue.

The economic backdrop shows signs of stress as labour markets have weakened and excess capacity is rising. The two most recent labour reports showed employment losses in both July and August, totaling more than 100,000 positions, while the jobless rate hit 7.1% last month, up by half a percentage point since January. The economy contracted by 1.6% in the second quarter—the most significant decline since the pandemic — reflecting a considerable drop in exports. Business investment is also weak, as is residential construction.

Recent economic weakness will likely outweigh the bank’s concerns about firm core inflation over the past few months. A broad range of underlying price pressures showed some cooling.

The average of the Bank of Canada’s two preferred core measures decelerated to 3.05%, from 3.1% in July. The three-month moving average of these core rates held steady at 2.52%.

Shelter inflation slowed to 2.6%, while CPI excluding food and energy decelerated to 2.4%. CPI excluding eight volatile components and indirect taxes held steady at 2.6%. Still, the share of components within the consumer price index basket that are rising by 3% or more — another key metric closely watched by policymakers — rose to 39.1%, from 37.3% in July.

The Bank of Canada cut the policy rate by 25 bps on September 17, taking the overnight rate to 2.5%–half the level posted at the high of 5%. The central bank is likely to cut rates one or two more times this year. The Governing Council meets again on October 29 and December 10.

 

And that’s a wrap for October! I hope you all have a candy-filled spooky season and manage to sort out your costumes before the 31st. Happy Halloween and see you back here in November.

September Newsletter

General Angela Calla 25 Sep

Welcome to the September issue of my monthly newsletter!

September is a polarizing month – back to school and the end of summer but also the beginning of fall and pumpkin spice everything season. And honestly, this month’s newsletter articles are polarizing too. When looking at the fall housing market, experts are polarized in their predictions on market conditions. And when it comes to a financial audit, deciding what spending mistakes you’ve been making and how to make changes might be polarizing too!

So, enjoy the articles, and here’s hoping we have more sunny days before the month races to an end.

The Fall Forecast: Cooling Temps, Hot Market Moves

Fall 2025’s real estate market theme is perhaps best summed up as “wait and see”. The spring market was flat. Experts have mixed reports about the national average home prices for the remainder of the year. Most (CREA, CMHC, etc.) predict a drop between 1.7-3.2%, but Royal LePage is an outlier still echoing their early year prediction of 3.5-5% price increase.

There are some notable regional differences. In Alberta, Saskatchewan and Quebec, they could see sales at historically high levels and faster price growth. Big Ontario and BC market declines are overshadowing these numbers and lowering the national average.

Biggest factors in the home-buying market this fall

  1. Affordability: the high cost of living – especially buying a home – is more than many new buyers can afford. The average MLS price for a home currently nearly $680,000. Homebuyers need big down payments, longer term loans, and will pay much more interest over the lifetime of the mortgage – none of which are appealing. Many are saying no thanks.
  2. US trade disputes: 49% of prospective buyers have chosen to hold off on a purchase because of impending tariffs and their ripple effects. A resolution could lead to a quick market turnaround, but there’s no way to know what’s coming.
  3. Economic cooling: unemployment, slower population growth and a mild recession are all contributing to a slower fall housing market.
  4. Rental market: Condo completions are surging, flooding the market and finally cooling off demand. People have more rental options, with potentially lower rates, which negates the need to buy. Also of note is slower household formation, meaning fewer people are looking to move out of their parents’ homes and in with their new spouse or partner.
  5. New builds: Builders are seeing reduced demand and cutting back production accordingly. Current tariffs are increasing the material costs for new homes, another reason to delay starts. The CMHC is predicting only 226,600 home starts for 2025.

What about rates?

The Bank of Canada has paused interest rate drops since April, which has given potential mortgagees pause. There is still one more rate cut predicted this year which could turn the market around.

Initially, the CMHC was estimating 5-year fixed rates between 5.3-5.7% this year, but with that now out the window and lower rates currently available, the remainder of 2025 is the ideal time to get a mortgage for anyone who doesn’t already have one or imminently needs to renew. With a potential Bank of Canada rate cut looming, variable rates are also still attractive.

Is anyone opting to buy this fall?

Yes! Resale homes are gaining market share, with somewhere between 464,600 and 524,600 homes expected to change hands in 2025.

There are also two main buyer demographics:

  1. Millennials: With remote work declining, they need to buy homes closer to their jobs. Urban market resale homes will likely be their prime targets.
  2. Renewals: Those needing to renew their mortgages will consider their actual needs vs their existing home. Downsizing to save costs or upsizing to accommodate changing family needs are big factors. This is the ideal time to make a move without (mortgage) penalties.

What does all this mean?

We’ll all be waiting to see what happens. If you want to buy, there is more supply and the lowest rates we’ve seen in a while. If you want to sell, the resale market is your friend. Either way, I can help you work out the mortgage you’re going to need.

Adulting 101: Back-to-School Budgeting for Real Life

If it’s time for you to stop rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic and start a purposeful financial audit – I’ve got you. Here we’re going beyond gathering statements, categorizing expenses and hoping to reduce spending. I’m going to give you the motivation to take action by looking at the WHY, WHAT, and HOW to get you into a different mindset with better results.

Why do a financial audit?

Auditing your finances is all about identifying how you’re spending your hard-earned cash. An audit works because it uncovers money pits you didn’t realize you’d fallen in, and gets you thinking about your financial goals. An audit will:

  • Identify overspending patterns
  • Calculate the true cost of ownership of items like a vehicle, your home, etc.
  • Catch any fraud or transaction errors
  • Pinpoint areas of spending to limit or reduce
  • Highlight items you’re automatically paying for but not using
  • Reallocate resources to higher priority items
  • Help you meet life goals that require money (like a degree, a home or the trip of a lifetime)

So, if that sounds good, it’s time to get started. What you need to ask yourself during an audit:

To get your finances on track, first get to the root of your current spending. Here’s what to ask yourself:

  • What are your goals for your earnings?
  • What are your life goals?
  • How much do you *think* you spend vs how much do you *actually* spend on things like entertainment, shopping, and other non-essentials?

Sometimes the biggest shock of a financial audit is how different your expectations are from your reality. So let’s now figure out what you should still spend money on, and what you shouldn’t. Here’s what to ask yourself:

  • What spends bring you the most joy?
  • What items could you skip or cut back without much negative impact?
  • What spends contribute towards your life and financial goals?

You probably can’t afford (and don’t need) everything you feel like spending money on. You’ll have to make choices. A financial audit shows your financial pitfalls and puts those spending traps into perspective against your goals.

How to stay committed:

You found a reason to conduct this financial audit, figured out what spending to cut back on, and now it’s time to action your findings. How? Step one is to set both short and mid term goals in specific time frames and reward yourself when you achieve them. SMART goals never looked better.

If it works for you, find a free app to track your card taps, and set alerts so you know immediately when you’ve gone off track. If that’s not for you, here are more strategies on how to stay committed and accountable:

  • Make a visual of your goal – print a picture, make a vision board, etc.
  • Share your goals with someone that will help keep you accountable
  • Treat it like the first year of dating – celebrate small milestones, talk about it with your friends, and ignore the sacrifices you’re making
  • Distract yourself when you’re tempted to spend – go for a walk, do a craft, get outside, make a puzzle, whatever gets you away from temptation
  • Make it a game, like a week-long no-buy or going one month without eating out. You can give it a fun name like ‘dine-in December’ or ‘the week without’
  • Make a direct correlation between the amount something costs and the number of hours you have to work to get it. If you earn $40/hour, and something costs $200, you’ll have to work for 5 extra hours to earn it. Is that worth while?

For the times when you’re getting derailed and need some reprieve, here’s how to make that work:

  • Try to use up gift cards, store credit or points (like Optimum or Aeroplan) on the out-of-budget items
  • Need more cash? Use marketplace or Kijiji to sell things you don’t need or want

Auditing your spending isn’t about guilt—it’s about gaining clarity. With a clear picture of where your money typically goes, and what you’d really like to use it for, you can make smarter choices and set yourself up for future financial success.

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

The Bank of Canada has maintained its target for the overnight rate at 2.75% since March 12. This was the seventh consecutive cut since mid-2024, when the Bank began lowering the rate from 5.0% in response to a potential economic slowdown caused by increased trade tensions with the United States.

Very early in the new Trump administration, tensions emerged as the president threatened to place sizable tariffs on Canadian imports not covered by the Canada-US-Mexico free trade agreement (CUSMA). President Trump has increased tariffs on non-CUSMA-compliant goods from Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1.

It is currently estimated that roughly 80% of Canadian exports are CUSMA-compliant, headed for 89% in the coming months. This has kept the lid on the overall tariff burden. In June, 77% of Mexican imports met the trade pact’s country of origin criteria, up from 42% May. Fitch rating service estimates the compliance proportion will rise to 83%.

In addition, there is a 50% tariff for all countries’ exports of steel and aluminum into the US. There is a 10% tariff on non-CUSMA-compliant potash, oil, and gas products. And a 50% tariff on some copper products.

Most important for Amazon shoppers, the US eliminated the de minimis treatment for low-value shipments. Goods valued at $800 or less are now

subject to all applicable duties (effective August 29).

Other tariffs are on the table. These include tariffs on Canadian lumber, which would be in addition to the existing 14.7% tariffs, as well as on Canadian dairy products. Semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are also under consideration for tariffs, though no details have been provided.

Reflective of Canadian resiliency, the Canadian services sector is holding up relatively well, but the export-heavy industries such as manufacturing and transportation are bearing the brunt of the impact.

The burning question for the Bank of Canada is how inflationary these tariffs will be. Indeed, some of the tariffs will be passed off to consumers. While theoretically tariffs lead to a one-shot uptick in prices, they don’t necessarily cause inflation—a continuous rise in the general price level.

But, as the latest data for July suggest, while headline inflation remains muted at 1.7% year-over-year, the Bank of Canada’s favoured measures of inflation average 3.05%–too high for comfort. Unless the August CPI data show a marked slowdown in core inflation, the Bank will likely retake a pass on September 17.

On the same date, traders are now signalling that the Federal Reserve will cut rates. I’m not so sure. The US economy is too resilient, and inflation is not close enough to 2.0% for Fed officials to muck around with easing. The widespread expectation that they will ease anyway in September is lifting stocks, and the actual event may cause a stock market melt-up.

The Fed left policy rates unchanged on July 30 for the fifth consecutive confab over the past seven months. The statement’s economic assessment

was slightly more downbeat, in line with the data on the ground. The risk assessment didn’t refer to uncertainty as having “diminished”, with the August 1 tariff announcements looming. And, Governors Bowman and Waller dissented in favour of a quarter-point rate cut. The vote was 9-to-2, with Governor Kugler absent and not voting. (Two days later, Kugler announced her resignation.) In the press conference, Chair Powell said: “We see our current policy stance as appropriate to guard against inflation risks. We are also attentive to risks on the employment side of our mandate.

Another key determinant of central bank policy is the strength of economic growth, as reflected in the employment data–a far timelier indicator than the GDP data. For example, while we still haven’t seen the number for second-quarter GDP growth in Canada, we have monthly employment data through the end of July.

This and other leading indicators, such as the stock market, suggest that the slowdown in economic activity has been more moderate than many feared. The layoffs are growing in the hardest-hit sectors—steel, aluminum, autos and parts—the jobless rate for July was steady at 6.9%.

So, the BoC is likely to have another ‘wait and see’ meeting. But the one sector that has declined significantly in the past year is housing. This provides a golden opportunity, especially for first-time and move-up buyers.

Home prices have fallen, and in many regions (GTA and GVA), sellers are motivated. Supply has increased sharply, and multiple-bidding situations are rare.

All potential buyers should be out there looking for bargains because

everything is on sale (as well as for sale). Finally, mortgage rates are low—yes, low.

We will not see a return to two-handle mortgage rates, barring another global pandemic. And, even then, the central banks would know better than to take rates down so much, for so long.

The July data showed an uptrend in housing activity. We are likely looking towards a relatively strong Fall marketing season.

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Bank of Canada Announcement – September 17 2025

General Angela Calla 19 Sep

This morning, the Bank of Canada announced a 0.25% rate cut bringing the prime rate with most banks down to 4.70% (from 4.95%). The full press release is HERE.

What this means: for every $100,000 of mortgage balance, interest may drop by about $13/month. While this change impacts variable and adjustable-rate mortgages, and home equity lines of credit it’s important to note that it is not directly tied to fixed rates.

At the Angela Calla Mortgage Team, our role goes far beyond watching rates. We provide:

– A full rate look-back upon closing to ensure you secure the lowest cost of borrowing available for your circumstances.

– Guidance if your mortgage is up for renewal – so you don’t leave money on the table.

– Strategies to eliminate outside debt and improve cashflow.

– Support if you’re planning large expenses or looking to purchase a home in this shifting market.

Click on the link to watch our Global News Morning segment.

The next Bank of Canada rate announcement is coming October 29th then the final one for the year December 10th, and we’ll continue keeping you informed every step of the way.

If you’d like to review how this change affects your situation, simply reply to this email or call us at 604-802-3983. We’re here to help you build and protect your wealth.

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady as Tariff Clouds Linger

General Angela Calla 6 Aug

Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady As Tariff Turmoil Continues

As expected, the Bank of Canada held its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.75% at today’s meeting, the third consecutive rate hold since the Bank cut overnight rates seven times in the past year. The Governing Council noted that the unpredictability of the magnitude and duration of tariffs posed downside risks to growth and lifted inflation expectations, warranting caution regarding the continuation of monetary easing.

Trade negotiations between Canada and the United States are ongoing, and US trade policy remains unpredictable.

While US tariffs are disrupting trade, Canada’s economy is showing some resilience so far. Several surveys suggest consumer and business sentiment is still low, but has improved. In the labour market, we are seeing job losses in the sectors that rely on US trade, but employment is growing in other parts of the economy. The unemployment rate has moved up modestly to 6.9%.

Inflation is close to the BoC’s 2% target, but evidence of underlying inflation pressures continues. “CPI inflation has been pulled down by the elimination of the carbon tax and is just below 2%. However, a range of indicators suggests underlying inflation has increased from around 2% in the second half of last year to roughly 2½% more recently. This largely reflects an increase in prices for goods other than energy. Shelter cost inflation remains the biggest contributor to CPI inflation, but it continues to ease. Surveys indicate businesses’ inflation expectations have fallen back after rising in the first quarter, while consumers’ expectations have not come down”.

The Bank asserted today that there are reasons to think that the recent increase in underlying inflation will gradually unwindThe Canadian dollar has appreciated, which reduces import costs. Growth in unit labour costs has moderated, and the economy is in excess supply. At the same time, tariffs impose new direct costs, which will be gradually passed through to consumers. In the current tariff scenario, upside and downside pressures roughly balance out, so inflation remains close to 2%.

The central bank provided alternative scenarios for the economic outlook. In the de-escalation scenario, lower tariffs improve growth and reduce the direct cost pressures on inflation. In the escalation scenario, higher tariffs weaken the economy and increase direct cost pressures.

So far, the global economic consequences of US trade policy have been less severe than feared. US tariffs have disrupted trade in significant economies, and this is slowing global growth, but by less than many anticipated. While growth in the US economy looks to be moderating, the labour market has remained solid. And in China, lower exports to the United States have largely been replaced with stronger exports to other countries.

In Canada, we experienced robust growth in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to firms rushing to get ahead of tariffs. In the second quarter, the economy looks to have contracted, as exports to the United States fell sharply—both as payback for the pull-forward and because tariffs are dampening US demand.

The gap between the 2.75% overnight policy rate in Canada and the 4.25-4.50% policy rate in the US is historically wide. Another cause of uncertainty is the fiscal response to today’s economic challenges. The One Big Beautiful Bill has passed, and it will add roughly US$4 trillion to the already burgeoning US federal government’s red ink. This has caused a year-to-date rise in longer-term bond yields, steepening the yield curve.

The slowdown of the housing sector since Trump’s inauguration has been a substantial drain on the economy.  The Monetary Policy Report (MPR) for July states that “growth in residential investment strengthens in the second half of 2025, partially due to an increase in resale activity after the steep decline in the first half of the year. Growth in residential investment is moderate over 2026 and 2027, supported by dissipating trade uncertainty and rising household incomes.”

Bottom Line

We expect the Canadian economy to post a small negative reading (-0.8%) in Q2 and (-0.3%) in Q3, bringing growth for the year to 1.2%. The next Governing Council decision date is September 17, which will give the  Bank time to assess the underlying momentum in inflation and the dampening effect of tariffs on economic activity.

If inflation slows over the next couple of months and the economy slows in Q2 and Q3 as widely expected, the Bank will likely cut rates one more time this year, bringing the overnight rate down to 2.50%, within the neutral range for monetary policy. Bay Street economists have varying views on the rate outlook (see chart above). While the Fed will hold rates steady today, despite the incredible pressure coming from the White House, the Bank of Canada could well cut rates one more time this year.

Dr. Sherry Cooper
Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres
drsherrycooper@dominionlending.ca

Mortgage Market Update: Buyer’s Market & What’s Next for Rates

General Angela Calla 30 Jul

The Bank of Canada has just made its latest announcement HERE —and while there was no rate cut this round, many experts anticipate future reductions later this year. Upcoming rate decision dates to keep an eye on:  September 17, October 29, December 10, 2025.

In the meantime, we’re in a true buyer’s market. With more inventory, motivated sellers, and more flexible conditions, we’re seeing many first-time homebuyers jump off the sidelines and into action. If you, or someone you know, has been waiting for the right moment, this could be it.

As always, we’re here to help with:

  • Pre-approvals and planning
  • Mortgage renewal and refinance strategies to save thousands
  • Introductions to trusted realtors, planners, and legal professionals

Here is our free app to download and get pre qualified in 45 seconds – My Mortgage Toolbox

If you have any questions about your current mortgage or want to explore opportunities in today’s market, just reply to this email or reach out directly.

Please note, our office will be closed, Monday, August 4th for BC Day.

Let’s make your mortgage work for you!

Payment Shock Concerns?

General Angela Calla 24 Jul

Are you a homeowner in BC worried about payment shock at renewal? You are not alone and it’s important to look at the whole financial picture.

Click on the image below to watch Angela Calla break down for Global News the key strategies to manage your mortgage.

1. Adjust amortization – extending your amortization out to the maximum 30 years could significantly reduce your monthly payments.  You don’t have to renew at the same amortization schedule that was set at your previous term.

2. Consolidate outside debt – rolling in high-interest debts such as personal lines of credit, credit cards and car loans can free up monthly cash flow by having one lower payment.

3. The right payment strategy, terms and rate choice – selecting the right payment options for your lifestyle can help pay off your mortgage faster.

While we briefly touch on this in the clip, the best advice is unique to your financial goals.

Contact us directly for personalized mortgage advise.

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Client Testimonial – Suhail’s Mortgage Journey

General Angela Calla 11 Jul

From Frustrated Bank Client to Empowered Homeowner: Suhail’s 12-Year Journey with the Angela Calla Mortgage Team

After a frustrating experience with his bank’s high-pressure sales tactics, Suhail knew he needed a different kind of support when it came to his mortgage. That’s when he saw our commercial during a hockey game—and decided to give us a try.

Over a decade later, Suhail and his family are still part of our mortgage family. In a recent interview on CKNW, he shared how the Angela Calla Mortgage Team helped them:

  • Move away from bank-style pressure and toward professional, client-first advice
  • Receive proactive check-ins to stay ahead of market shifts
  • Stay focused on achieving mortgage freedom through regular communication and expert planning

“I didn’t want to be sold insurance or credit cards—I wanted a mortgage specialist,” Suhail said. “And that’s exactly what I got with Angela and her team.”

This kind of long-term relationship is what we strive for with every client. Whether you’re refinancing, renewing, or buying your first home, we’re here to guide you with confidence.

 Want to get started?

Email: callateam@countoncalla.ca

Call/Text: 604-802-3983

Download our app for free tools and resources

Check out The Mortgage Code for more inspiration

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Two sisters. Two mortgage reviews. Over $4,700/month saved.

General Angela Calla 10 Jul

Monica was overwhelmed with debts and everyday stressors that come with wondering where the next dollar is coming from.

She’s a single income earner from Surrey, supporting her family and maxed out on debt. She was about to lose her home — until her sister, who we had just helped save $1,092/month, encouraged her to call us.

That call changed everything.

We restructured Monica’s mortgage and freed up $3,674/month.  She kept her home. Didn’t have to find a rental that accepted her dog. And she got her life back.

This is what we do — for everyday people all over British Columbia.

Do you know someone like Monica? A friend, coworker, or family member who might be quietly struggling?

Please introduce us by email. A simple mortgage review could change their life.

P.S. You never know what someone’s going through. Let’s help them move forward — together.

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

July Newsletter

General Angela Calla 3 Jul

Welcome to the July issue of my monthly newsletter!

Welcome to July, the month of the festival here in Canada! There’s something for everyone, from the Calgary Stampede to Caribana in Toronto and Shambhala in Salmo or even Just For Laughs in Montreal. Or maybe you’re dreaming of getting away from it all – making this newsletter perfect for you!

This month we’re covering vacation homes and backyard projects, both of which will help you escape and unwind.

This month’s fun fact: Did you know both the lightbulb and insulin were invented in July (in 1874 and 1922 respectively) – right here in Canada?

Dreaming of a Vacation Home?
Here’s What You Need to Know?

If you’re interested in buying a vacation home, there is a lot to consider. A good first step to purchasing any vacation home is to think about your 5- and 10-year plan.

Will you get enough use out of it?

Do you have other more immediate or important financial goals?

What’s the opportunity cost?

If you’re set on the vacation home, but don’t plan on paying cash for the property, the next step will be to plan how to finance it. Here’s what to ask yourself:

  • Do you have enough saved for a downpayment? A second property could need anywhere between 5-20%+ downpayment. Some factors to consider are if it’s winterized, mortgage insurance requirements in relation to the purchase price, etc.
  • Can you afford the purchase? Your income will have to be such that you can take on the additional debt, so consider calculating your debt servicing ratios and see how much room you have within your current situation. Use 39% for GDS and 44% for TDS ratios as the maximum to secure funding from a bank.
  • Will the location/property be eligible for financing? Remote locations or properties outside Canada may not qualify for a mortgage, so you might need to get creative.
  • Will it be owner-occupied or an investment property? Depending on who lives in or uses the dwelling, there will be different mortgage and tax implications.

If you’re in a good place to move forward with purchasing a vacation home, the next step is selecting a location. A few considerations:

  • Current and future development of the area
  • Municipal services available
  • Transportation to and from your property
  • Long term property value
  • Seasonal access issues

Another big factor in purchasing a vacation home is deciding what will happen to it while you’re not there. Will you rent it out? Will you have a property manager? What’s needed to keep the insurance valid on the property?

If you’re not sure about any of what you’ve just read, a great first step is to get in touch! As your mortgage broker, I can help you calculate your debt servicing ratios, determine what you’re eligible for, and come up with creative financing solutions if needed. We can look at second mortgages, reverse mortgages, and other options to get you into the property of your dreams.

Summer Backyard Projects

Summer in Canada goes by fast! Make the most of it by spending time in your outdoor space. There are plenty of projects you can undertake to help you enjoy the space you have even more, whether it’s a small patio or a big yard.

 

Here are some suggestions!

For Patio Space Only:

  • Add tiles to the concrete flooring for a grass, panel or wood look (here are a few options)
  • Install a pull-down movie screen (or get a folding stand) and add a mini projector to watch movies outside
  • Get some planters that hang over your railing and grow an herb garden
  • Give it some pizazz by wrapping twinkle lights around the railings
  • Furnish with a baby-que to maximize BBQ season and your space (Weber’s Q series might have something that strikes your fancy)

For Small Yards:

  • Add small-footprint and storage-friendly games like axe throwing or a mini putt hole for some fun
  • Buy a heating lamp for your seating arrangement and make nights more enjoyable
  • Build or install a garden box and grow tomatoes, cucumbers, or other veggies
  • DIY a bird bath from glassware – a vase, a platter and some crazy glue are all you need to make a pedestal style option (and you might already have everything you need at home!). Here’s how!

For Big Yards:

  • Build a catio (cat patio for those not yet in the know) for your feline friends to enjoy the outdoors safely
  • Install a permanent fire pit with stones, a fire ring, and even smoke prevention cutouts – like this!
  • Pave or tile a seating area for outdoor dining and entertainment

Not enough inspiration here to quench your outdoor project thirst? Take a look through Home Depot’s backyard ideas, complete with materials and DIY instructions to make them happen.

I hope you’re able to get outside and enjoy the nice weather while it lasts. See you back here in August!

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

Canadian economic data have come in weaker than expected since early May. Despite this, markets are not looking for another rate cut in July unless core inflation falls meaningfully. Amid a sizeable trade shock, lingering uncertainty, and a potential war with Iran,  the economy’s growth outlook is softer than most forecasters predicted a year ago.

The unemployment rate continues to rise, consumer confidence plummeted in the spring and hesitancy around business investment remains. Despite aggressive easing by the Bank of Canada, housing remains wobbly.

The BoC began lowering interest rates well ahead of many global peers, with a significant 225 basis points of monetary policy easing already in the pipeline. Yes, the BoC was unnerved recently by firmer-than-expected inflation in April. But, critically, that upward surprise likely had more to do with resilient consumer spending, particularly on non-housing-related discretionary services, than with the impact of tariffs.

We also expect a limited impact on inflation from Canada’s retaliatory import tariffs, which means that monetary policy will remain flexible and act as a traditional buffer for the economy. The central bank will need to consider potential additional support that could come from government spending, but overall, it has the room to cut interest rates further if needed.

There are two streams of fiscal support in play in Canada that produce upside risks worth monitoring.

First, Canada maintains meaningful capacity to buffer against economic shocks if required, regardless of the political landscape. Government net debt levels are still low relative to the size of the economy compared to other advanced economies. That is less true compared to the shrinking number of triple-A-rated economies. Still, provincial and federal governments have signalled willingness to step in and support trade-impacted sectors if needed.

This fiscal room provides an important backstop for the economy that shouldn’t be underestimated, particularly compared to its global peers (and the US). Moreover, it is a shift from earlier this year when it appeared Canada might need to buffer a trade shock alone. Now, global peers are engaged in fiscal expansion that helps to maintain Canada’s relative fiscal place.

A formal spending plan has yet to be presented by the newly elected federal government, but there has been movement on a range of items that can provide support to 2025-2026 growth. Action on interprovincial trade barriers could pay long-run dividends, helping to support investment and productivity growth. Tax deferrals, loan programs, and employment insurance measures are available to help trade-related sectors through shorter-run disruptions. And now announcements related to defence could add significantly to growth in 2026.

Second, the US-induced trade shock has turned global attention towards the needs of the global economy in the future, and which countries are best equipped and positioned to support them. Canada’s resources—agriculture, energy, and critical minerals—are increasingly well positioned to support the needs of the global economy, particularly as it seeks to expand AI/data and defence spending.

Canadian exporters appear to be less targeted with specific US tariffs, but they are still tied to the performance of the US economy, particularly in the heavily trade integrated manufacturing sector.

This was a problem for Canada in the immediate aftermath of Liberation Day on April 2. Broad-based global tariffs imposed by the US on all of its trade partners raised the risk of a US recession and, therefore, a Canadian one. However, the de-escalation of US tariffs supports a slow but resilient outlook for the US, improving Canada’s prospects as well.

Problematically, the US’s resilience still appears to mostly come from the exceptionally large government budget deficit and household spending on services with little direct Canadian import content.

In the US industrial sector—where trade ties are much closer—manufacturing employment was down 0.7% year-over-year in May. Early data on job openings shows hiring demand continues to slow as aggressive tariffs on most of the world push costs higher, adding to uncertainty. Still, we do not expect a US recession this year, and that is good news for Canadian exporters who are still, in most cases, able to access the US market duty-free.

The Federal Reserve remained on the sidelines this month despite repeated demands for a rate cut by President Trump. In recent meetings, inflation concerns have precluded the FOMC from reducing rates, although the ‘dot-plot’ portends two rate cuts this year.

In a recent speech, BoC Governor Macklem held to the script, saying that inflation is a threat. He concluded, “My colleagues on the Governing Council and I agreed there could be a need for a further reduction in the policy interest rate if the effects of US tariffs and uncertainty continued to spread through the economy.” But, the latter is still a big “if” in the BoC’s mind. We’ll get two more CPI reports before the July decision (the May report is out next week), and they’ll probably need to see two good ones to consider a rate cut. The market is currently pricing in 25 bps of easing by the end of the year.

“If the current tariffs and counter-tariffs remain in place, historical experience suggests passing through about 75% of the costs of tariffs over roughly a year and a half,” he said. Macklem confessed that underlying inflation is “firmer” than expected, and “If the recent firmness in underlying inflation were to persist, it would be more difficult to cut the policy rate.”

That said, he admitted that the Bank’s preferred measures of inflation (trim and median) “may be exaggerating a little bit” to the upside. Macklem also underscored the negative structural shock Canada must deal with in an increasingly uncertain world. The takeaway from these comments and the recently released BoC minutes was that the Bank is biased in cutting rates again if inflation comes back down and unemployment keeps climbing. How much or how soon is anyone’s guess.

Housing activity continues to disappoint even as the May data showed a modest uptick in sales. New listings have surged, increasing the inventory of unsold homes, particularly condos in the GTA and, to a lesser degree, British Columbia.

The Bank of Canada expected to cut rates further before the end of the year – and with the occasional encouraging sign of progress in US-Canada trade talks – hopes are high that more buyers will step off the sidelines soon.

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem described Prime Minister Mark Carney and US President Donald Trump’s agreement to finalize a new trade and security deal within 30 days as “very welcome news.” However, he also flagged the continuing risk posed to the Canadian economy if tariffs remain in place.

We expect housing market confidence to gradually rebuild as tariff de-escalation lifts some of the uncertainty that hindered activity earlier this year. Still, a tepid labour market and rapidly falling population growth will likely continue hindering short-term market prospects.

Our growth forecasts have been moderately upgraded for the US and Canada. Changes to the Canadian outlook were primarily driven by an increasing likelihood that additional government fiscal deficit spending will add more significantly to growth tailwinds later this year and into 2026.

Canada is also the US’s largest exporter of steel and aluminum products. Existing excess domestic capacity in the US (often at much higher costs) could help, but won’t nearly be enough to fill the supply gap. That means the cost of additional levies will more likely be paid by US buyers than foreign exporters (like Canada).

Canada remains better positioned among major U.S. trade partners as it faces one of the lowest tariff rates thanks to CUSMA exemptions. The first round of trade data post-Liberation Day in April confirmed that nearly 90% of Canadian exports (by our count) continued to access the US market duty-free.

• We have upgraded our Q2 US gross domestic product forecast from 1% to 2.5% annually as we expect a surge in imports in Q1 (a statistical quirk) to reverse. Average growth in the first half of the year is likely a better gauge of economic activities, but it is still slowing. However, The slowing pace is more consistent with the gradual cooling in labour markets than with the beginning of a recession.

• The Canadian GDP growth forecast has been revised higher in 2026 by 0.3 percentage points from 1 to 1.3%. The new Liberal government has announced tax cuts and additional defence spending to meet NATO commitments this fiscal year. Expanded deficit spending will add to GDP growth later in 2025 and into 2026.

• Canadian unemployment rate projections have changed a little. The unemployment rate rose to 7% in May, but early plateauing in job openings suggests hiring conditions have stabilized after softening. It leaves us comfortable with limited further deterioration in the labour market and the unemployment rate to peak at 7.1% in Q3.

• Canadian population growth slowed substantially in Q1 2025, another dampener on housing.

 


Angela Calla is a mortgage renewal and debt elimination expert with over 20 years of industry experience. She is also a multi-award-winning mortgage professional. Since beginning as a mortgage broker in 2004, Angela has helped thousands of Canadians optimize their mortgage strategies, eliminate debt, and build wealth through real estate.

She is the best-selling author of The Mortgage Code, which equips readers with the tools to make informed financial decisions. Additionally, she is the host of Canada’s longest-running finance radio show on CKNW, where she simplifies mortgage advice and empowers listeners to take control of their financial futures.

Angela has been recognized as Business Leader of the Year (2020) by the Tri-Cities Chamber of Commerce and Entrepreneur of the Year (2019) by the City of Port Coquitlam. She is also a sought-after speaker and educator, delivering accredited training for real estate boards across Greater Vancouver.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

From Planning to Possession: How Jeff and Brianne Bought Their First Home in Just 3 Years

General Angela Calla 24 Jun

 

WATCH – For Jeff and Brianne of Port Coquitlam, the dream of owning a home felt distant — until they got the right plan in place. Their family had long trusted The Angela Calla Mortgage Team as a household name for mortgage advice. So when the time came to turn their goal into action, they didn’t hesitate to reach out.

Working closely with a trusted financial advisor, Krystian, and through our team’s personalized guidance, they developed a step-by-step plan that would prepare them for homeownership — not just in theory, but in real life. And in just three years, they were holding the keys to their very first family home.

Their advice? Download our free mortgage app and reach out directly to start your own path to ownership. The earlier you plan, the more empowered you’ll feel. Whether you’re buying in a few months or a few years, we’ll help guide the way.

✅ Ready to Start Your Journey?

📲 Download our FREE Mortgage App

📞 Connect with us to create your personalized homeownership plan:

Angela Calla Mortgage Team

📧 angela@countoncalla.ca

🌐 https://angelacalla.ca

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog.