January 2025 Newsletter

General Angela Calla 4 Feb

Welcome to the January issue of my monthly newsletter!
Happy New Year!
This month, I wanted to take a look at what is in store for us for the housing market as we head into 2025. Plus, I have some tips to help kick your financial health into gear for the next twelve months! Scroll down for all the details.

Market Outlook for 2025

It’s a new year and as we gear up for the upcoming Spring season, it is a good idea to take a look at the market outlook and what we are expecting to see around housing sales, prices, interest rates, and how these current conditions affect buyers versus sellers!

Let’s dive into the Canadian Real Estate Association Forecast and more:

National Trends

  • Housing Sales: National home sales are expected to increase by 6.6% in 2025, reaching approximately 499,800 units as interest rates continue to decline, drawing buyers back into the market. This follows a modest 5.2% increase in 2024.
  • Housing Prices:On a national level, Canada’s housing market is expected to see a 4.4% increase in home prices in 2025, reaching an average of $713,375. This follows a more modest 0.9% increase in 2024. The national growth is tempered by regional differences, with areas like Toronto and Vancouver seeing higher price levels due to ongoing demand, while more affordable regions like Quebec may see more moderate growth.
  • Rising Demand: Canada’s housing market remains competitive, with demand continuing to rise in urban centers and suburban areas due to factors like population growth, economic recovery, and strong immigration.
  • Interest Rates: The Bank of Canada’s policy on interest rates continues to play a central role in shaping the housing market. While rates were higher through 2023 and part of 2024, they are expected to continue declining in 2025, which should ease affordability constraints and encourage more buyer activity.

Regional Highlights

Greater Toronto Area (GTA)

  • Housing Prices:The average home price in the GTA reached $1,135,215 in October 2024, reflecting a 0.8% increase year-over-year and 2.5% monthly growth. The City of Toronto itself saw a 3.4% increase, signaling continued demand despite higher prices. Areas like Mississauga and Brampton show mixed price trends, with Mississauga seeing a slight decline of 2.2% year-over-year, while Brampton experienced a 2.0% increase. These fluctuations reflect demand in more affordable areas within the GTA.
  • Rising Demand: Toronto remains one of Canada’s most sought-after markets, driven by its status as a global financial hub and growing tech sector. Suburbs like Mississauga, Brampton, and York Region are seeing rising interest as buyers seek more affordable options. Ontario’s strong job market and immigration influx contribute to population growth, further boosting demand. While some cooling has been seen due to high home prices, the overall demand remains robust, especially for entry-level homes.
  • Interest Rate Impact: Rates are expected to decrease into 2025 increasing buyer demand. Despite higher rates over the last two years, Toronto remains a seller’s market in many areas, though buyers will benefit from more favorable conditions as rates decline.

Greater Vancouver

  • Housing Prices: Vancouver has experienced a slight decline in average home prices, down 0.2% year-over-year in 2024, with prices hovering around $1,250,329. However, Vancouver remains one of Canada’s priciest markets, and some recovery is expected as the market adjusts. While the downtown core sees slower price growth, suburban areas in the Lower Mainland, such as Richmond and Surrey, continue to see moderate price increases, as these areas offer better affordability and space.
  • Rising Demand: Vancouver’s appeal remains strong for both domestic buyers and international investors, particularly in tech, entertainment, and natural resources sectors. Despite price stagnation, demand continues for detached homes and more spacious properties as residents seek to balance living costs with quality of life. Vancouver also benefits from significant immigration, and the city continues to diversify economically, drawing both residents and investors who are fueling demand in the housing market.
  • Interest Rate Impact: Like Toronto, Vancouver has been affected by the Bank of Canada’s interest rate hikes, which have increased borrowing costs and cooled market activity. The rate hikes have caused some slowdown, but the region is expected to see a modest recovery in 2025 with interest rate cuts. As rates decline, Vancouver may experience more balanced market conditions, with higher demand for detached homes in suburban areas and some recovery in the more expensive core areas.

Quebec:

  • Housing Prices:The province has seen steady growth in home prices, with Montreal, in particular, experiencing an 8.9% year-over-year price increase as of October 2024, reaching an average home price of $630,063. While Quebec’s growth is generally more moderate compared to Ontario and British Columbia, the relative affordability of homes in many areas still offers opportunities for buyers compared to more expensive regions like Toronto or Vancouver.
  • Rising Demand: Montreal’s job market, particularly in technology and aerospace, continues to attract young professionals, which fuels housing demand. The province also benefits from ongoing immigration, contributing to population growth, which supports housing demand.
  • Interest Rate Impact: Like the rest of Canada, Quebec will see easing interest rates in 2025, which should help to bolster market activity. However, since prices have risen significantly over the past decade, some buyers in Quebec, particularly first-time buyers, may still face affordability challenges, albeit less severe than in major cities like Toronto.

Expectations for Buyers

  1. Affordability Challenges: While interest rates are expected to decline gradually, the impact of high housing prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver will still be a challenge for many buyers. However, some relief is anticipated as lower rates could ease monthly mortgage payments.
  2. Opportunity in the Suburbs: Suburban areas are projected to see more price stability and may be more attractive to first-time buyers and those looking for better value for money. Areas like Mississauga, Brampton, and Ottawa are seeing mixed price changes, making them viable alternatives to the high-cost core regions.
  3. More Inventory: A growing number of homes available for sale could give buyers more choice, but competition may still exist in certain markets due to demand returning as rates ease.

Expectations for Sellers

  1. Tight Timing: Sellers in 2025 will likely benefit from a surge in demand in the spring and summer, driven by the stabilization or decline of interest rates. However, selling in a market with increased inventory may require competitive pricing.
  2. Realistic Pricing: With the market expected to shift towards more buyer-friendly conditions, sellers will need to adjust expectations and price their homes carefully. Those listing too high might face longer waiting periods.
  3. Stronger Negotiation Power in Suburbs: Sellers in high-demand, low-inventory areas (especially in suburban regions) may still enjoy more favorable conditions and could see prices rise or remain stable.

Key Takeaways for 2025

  1. Recovery Driven by Rate Cuts: Declining interest rates are anticipated to accelerate both sales activity and price growth in the latter half of 2025.
  2. Regional Disparities: While Vancouver and Toronto remain expensive, other regions like Montreal and Ottawa offer growth potential due to relative affordability and robust economic conditions.
  3. Inventory and New Construction: Higher inventory levels may moderate price increases in some areas, but affordability concerns and economic factors will shape regional market dynamics.

Overall, 2025 will likely be a year of transition with benefits to both buyers and sellers as the market continues to stabilize.

Looking to purchase or renew your mortgage this year? Don’t hesitate to reach out to me

Kickstart Your Year:
5 Steps to Improve Your Financial Health

Improving your financial health is essential for long-term stability and peace of mind.

STEP 1: This starts with creating a budget and sticking to it. Begin by tracking your income and all expenses for at least a month to understand where your money is going.

  • Categorize your spending into essentials (housing, utilities, groceries) and non-essentials (entertainment, subscriptions). Use this information to set realistic spending limits and prioritize needs over wants.
  • Apps and tools can also make budgeting easier and more effective.

STEP 2: Next is to build an emergency fund. Life is unpredictable, and having a financial cushion can prevent setbacks from turning into crises.

  • Aim to save 3–6 months’ worth of living expenses, but don’t be discouraged if that feels daunting.
  • Start small, even $10–$20 from each paycheck, and automate your savings to ensure consistency. Over time, these small contributions will grow into a safety net.

STEP 3: Debt can be a significant barrier to financial health, so it’s crucial to pay down debt strategically. High-interest debt, like credit cards and payday loans, should be your top priority, as it compounds quickly and can drain your resources.

  • Use strategies such as the snowball method (paying off the smallest debts first for psychological wins) or the avalanche method (focusing on the highest-interest debts to save money overall). Whichever method you choose, ensure you make at least the minimum payments on all debts to avoid penalties.

STEP 4: Another vital component of financial health is to invest in your future.

  • Begin contributing to retirement accounts, such as an RRSP if your employer offers one, especially if there’s a company match—it’s essentially free money.
  • If an RRSP is not an option, consider a high-interest savings account.
  • Beyond retirement, explore low-risk investments, which can grow your wealth steadily over time. Even small, consistent contributions can lead to significant returns thanks to compound interest.

STEP 5: It’s essential to regularly review and adjust your financial plan. Financial needs and goals evolve, so take time annually—or after major life events like a new job, marriage, or a baby—to reassess.

  • Review your budget, savings, investments, and debt repayment progress. Adjust your plan as needed to stay on track and adapt to changes.
  • Regular check-ins help you stay proactive and maintain momentum toward your goals.

Financial health is a journey, not a destination. Consistency, patience, and smart planning will lead you to long-term stability and financial freedom. Remember, even small steps make a big difference over time!

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

There is an unprecedented disparity between the economic and financial situation in the US and Canada. The Canadian economy is far more interest-sensitive than the US and, therefore, slowed more dramatically in response to the Bank of Canada’s restrictive policy to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.

The jobless rate in Canada has reached 6.5%, well above the level in the US, and job vacancy rates have plummeted. Wage inflation has been sticky at 4.9% but will likely edge downward in response to excess supply in the labour market.

Inflation accelerated to 2% y/y in October, compared to the cycle-low 1.6% in September, mainly because gasoline price deflation slowed. The odds of another 50 bps rate cut by the central bank—on the heels of a jumbo cut in October—have diminished, but a 25 bps cut is in the bag.

Market-driven interest rates in Canada are well below those in the US, owing to weaker economic activity and lower inflation. US interest rates surged on the news of the Trump election victory. Ten-year US Treasury yields rose sharply to a post-election high of nearly 4.5% on the presumption that with a Republican majority in the House and the Senate, Trump will move ahead with tax cuts, tariffs and deregulation. Trump has also threatened to limit the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Canadian long-term yields have risen far less since the election. Short-term interest rates are also lower in Canada than in the US. The Bank of Canada has eased monetary policy four times for a total decline in the overnight policy rate of 175 bps, compared to only one rate cut of 50 bps by the Fed. This unprecedented divergence bodes well for a rebounding housing market in Canada.

Housing activity picked up in October and early November in response to the surge in new listings, giving potential buyers a broader range of choices and lower interest rates. The steepening yield curve portends more significant declines in variable mortgage rates—tied to the prime rate, which declines with every cut in the overnight rate, than fixed rates, which move with longer-term bond yields.

The Bank of Canada, concerned about a weakening Canadian economy, will continue to cut the overnight rate at every meeting between now and mid-2025. By then, the policy rate will be roughly 2.5%, half the level at the peak in BoC tightening. This will likely trigger a robust spring housing season.

There is plenty of pent-up activity in the Canadian housing market as buyers have waited for lower interest rates and home prices, and sellers have been reticent to list their properties, hoping for a housing recovery. This is beginning to turn around as every easing move by the Bank of Canada boosts economic activity, particularly in the interest-sensitive housing sector.

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

The Bank of Canada Cuts The Overnight Rate By 25 Bps

General Angela Calla 29 Jan

Bank of Canada Cuts Policy Rate By 25 BPs

The Bank of Canada (BoC) reduced the overnight rate by 25 basis points this morning, bringing the policy rate down to 3.0%. The market had anticipated a nearly 98% chance of this 25 basis point reduction, and consensus aligned with this expectation. The Federal Reserve is also set to announce its rate decision this afternoon, where it is widely expected to maintain the current policy rate. As a result, the gap between the US Federal Funds rate and the BoC’s overnight rate has widened to 150 basis points. This discrepancy is largely attributed to stronger growth and inflation in the US compared to Canada. Consequently, Canada’s relatively low interest rates have negatively impacted the Canadian dollar, which has fallen to 69.2 cents against the US dollar. Additionally, oil prices have dropped by five dollars, now at US$73.61.

The Bank also announced its plan to conclude the normalization of its balance sheet by ending quantitative tightening. It will restart asset purchases in early March, beginning gradually to stabilize and modestly grow its balance sheet in alignment with economic growth.

The projections in the January Monetary Policy Report (MPR) released today are marked by more-than-usual uncertainty due to the rapidly evolving policy landscape, particularly the potential threat of trade tariffs from the new administration in the United States. Given the unpredictable scope and duration of a possible trade conflict, this MPR provides a baseline forecast without accounting for new tariffs.

According to the MPR projections, the global economy is expected to grow by about 3% over the next two years. Growth in the United States has been revised upward, mainly due to stronger consumption. However, growth in the euro area is likely to remain subdued as the region faces competitiveness challenges. In China, recent policy actions are expected to boost demand and support near-term growth, although structural challenges persist. Since October, financial conditions have diverged across countries, with US bond yields rising due to strong growth and persistent inflation, while yields in Canada have decreased slightly.

The BoC press release states, “In Canada, past cuts to interest rates have begun to stimulate the economy. The recent increase in both consumption and housing activity is expected to continue. However, business investment remains lackluster. The outlook for exports is improving, supported by new export capacity for oil and gas.

Canada’s labor market remains soft, with the unemployment rate at 6.7% in December. Job growth has strengthened in recent months after a prolonged period of stagnation in the labor force. Wage pressures, previously sticky, are showing some signs of easing.

The Bank forecasts GDP growth to strengthen in 2025. However, with slower population growth due to reduced immigration targets, both GDP and potential growth will be more moderate than previously anticipated in October. Following a growth rate of 1.3% in 2024, the Bank now projects GDP to grow by 1.8% in both 2025 and 2026, slightly exceeding potential growth. As a result, excess supply in the economy is expected to be gradually absorbed over the projection horizon.

CPI inflation remains close to the 2% target, though with some volatility stemming from the temporary suspension of the GST/HST on select consumer products. Shelter price inflation remains elevated but is gradually easing, as anticipated. A broad range of indicators, including surveys on inflation expectations and the distribution of price changes among CPI components, suggests that underlying inflation is near the 2% target. The Bank forecasts that CPI inflation will remain around this target over the next two years.

Aside from the potential US tariffs, the risks surrounding the outlook appear reasonably balanced. However, as noted in the MPR, a prolonged trade conflict would most likely result in weaker GDP growth and increased prices in Canada.

With inflation around 2% and the economy in a state of excess supply, the Governing Council has decided to further reduce the policy rate by 25 basis points to 3%. This marks a substantial (200 bps) cumulative reduction in the policy rate since last June. Lower interest rates are expected to boost household spending, and the outlook published today suggests that the economy will gradually strengthen while inflation remains close to the target. Nevertheless, significant and widespread tariffs could challenge the resilience of Canada’s economy. The Bank will closely monitor developments and assess their implications for economic activity, inflation, and monetary policy in Canada. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians. Nevertheless, significant and widespread tariffs could challenge the resilience of Canada’s economy. The Bank will closely monitor developments and assess their implications for economic activity, inflation, and monetary policy in Canada. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

 

 

 

 

Bottom Line

The central bank dropped its guidance on further adjustments to borrowing costs as US President Donald Trump’s tariff threat clouded the outlook.

Bonds surged as the market absorbed the central bank’s decision not to guide future rate moves. The yield on Canada’s two-year notes slid some four basis points to 2.79%, the lowest since 2022. The loonie maintained the day’s losses against the US dollar.

In prepared remarks, Macklem said while “monetary policy has worked to restore price stability,” a broad-based trade conflict would “badly hurt” economic activity but that the higher cost of goods “will put direct upward pressure on inflation.”

“With a single instrument — our policy rate — we can’t lean against weaker output and higher inflation at the same time,” Macklem said, adding the central bank would need to “carefully assess” the downward pressure on inflation and weigh that against the upward pressure on inflation from “higher input prices and supply chain disruptions.”

In the accompanying monetary policy report, the central bank lowered its forecast for economic growth in 2025 due to the federal government’s lower immigration targets. The bank expects the economy to expand by 1.8% in 2025 and 2026, down from 2.1 and 2.3% in previous projections. The central bank trimmed business investment and exports estimates but boosted its consumption forecast.

The bank estimated that interest rate divergence with the Federal Reserve was responsible for about 1% of the depreciation in the Canadian dollar since October.

We expect the BoC to continue cutting the policy rate in 25-bps increments until it reaches 2.5% this Spring, triggering continued strengthening in the Canadian housing market.

Article courtesy of Dr. Sherry Cooper, Chief Economist, DLC

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Angela Calla on Global News What you NEED to know Variable & Adjustable Rate Mortgages

General Angela Calla 27 Jan

In case you missed our Global News Morning segment we discussed a topic that is top of mind for many: variable and adjustable rate mortgages.

In this approx. 6 minute interview we covered…

-What exactly are variable and adjustable rate mortgages?

-The key differences between the two.

-Critical terms and factors to consider when choosing the best option for you.

If you ever wondered how these mortgage options work or how to make the most informed decision, this segment is a must-watch!

We are here to or provide a personalized review of a mortgage for you or a loved one to ensure it works for you in today’s market to build and protect your wealth please email us at callateam@countoncalla.ca or call 604-802-3983

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Fall Economic Statement Delivered Despite Chrystia Freeland’s Resignation

General Angela Calla 18 Dec

 
Chrystia Freeland Resigns On The Day of The Fall Economic Statement
Finance Minister Freeland rocked markets today by submitting her resignation from Cabinet. Trudeau had asked her to take another Cabinet post, but she declined in a scathing letter accusing Trudeau of “costly political gimmicks” like “bribe-us-with-our-own-money cheques for $250 and a two-month GST holiday.

“Inevitably, our time in government will come to an end,” Ms. Freeland said, openly acknowledging what polls have been saying for over a year. “But how we deal with the threat our country currently faces will define us for a generation, and perhaps longer.”

The Federal deficit for 2023-2024 grows from $40 billion to $61.9 billion, partly boosted by a court settlement to pay funds to Indigenous children. The deficit far surpasses Freeland’s guardrail of $40.1 billion for last year’s budget deficit. New spending initiatives were announced amounting to $24 billion over the next six years. The most significant component is accelerated incentives to encourage business investment to improve productivity. This is very similar to a program issued by Finance Minister Frank Morneau years ago.

Dominic LeBlanc has been sworn in as the new Finance Minister.
Bottom Line

Today’s Fall Economic Statement took a backseat to the news that Chrytia Freeland resigned. There is more talk of a Trudeau resignation and an early election. Liberals are suggesting that Trudeau has stayed on too long, likening him to Biden. The caucus is meeting at 5 PM today.
Dr. Sherry Cooper
Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres
drsherrycooper@dominionlending.ca

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

 

With rates going down, should I take an adjustable rate Mortgage?

General Angela Calla 16 Dec

Navigating the mortgage market requires more than choosing between a fixed or adjustable rate. Over my 20 years in this industry, I’ve seen how markets and lenders adapt in ways consumers might not expect. Adjustable rates can be a VERY powerful tool, but they come with complexities that borrowers must fully understand before committing.

Our approach at the Angela Calla Mortgage Team is not to say adjustable rates are bad or banks are at fault. Instead, we work to empower borrowers by presenting all qualified options and using our experience to help them make confident, informed decisions they’re comfortable with. For instance, adjustable and variable-rate mortgages often come with significant advantages such as large discounts, low compounding frequencies, and only three months of interest for penalties, as well as the flexibility to easily lock into fixed rates when needed.

Here are some important lessons from recent history that highlight the factors borrowers need to consider:

2015: BoC Rate Cuts That Didn’t Fully Benefit Borrowers

In January and July 2015, the Bank of Canada (BoC) reduced its overnight rate twice, by 0.25% each time (a total of 50 basis points). Despite this, Canadian banks only passed along 0.45% (45 basis points) of the cuts, keeping 0.30% for themselves.

This situation highlighted that central bank decisions don’t always translate directly into borrower savings. That missing 0.30% never made its way back to consumers.

2016: Independent Prime Rate Adjustment by a Major Bank

In 2016, one of Canada’s major banks introduced its own proprietary prime rate, setting it slightly higher than the industry-standard prime rate. While most adjustable-rate borrowers didn’t notice because their payments stayed the same, more of their payments were applied to interest instead of principal.

This independent adjustment demonstrated how lenders can make changes that impact borrowers in ways they may not immediately notice. Adjustable-rate mortgages, where payments change with Prime, and variable-rate mortgages, where the interest rate changes but payments may remain constant, further illustrate how adjustable rates are not all the same in mechanics or benefits.

2021-2022: Tiff Macklem’s Reassurance and the Rate Surge

In 2021, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem assured Canadians that rates would remain low for a prolonged period. This led many borrowers to choose variable-rate mortgages, believing they’d benefit from sustained savings.

However, by 2022, the BoC raised rates rapidly to combat inflation, pushing them to the highest levels in over a decade. Borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) faced significant payment increases, while variable-rate mortgages hit trigger rates, leading to grossly extended amortization periods in some cases.

Rapid Rate Movements and Market Surcharges

When rates move quickly, lenders may also surcharge adjustable-rate offerings. For example, instead of offering Prime – 0.50%, lenders might adjust to Prime – 0.10% or even Prime + 0. This means the actual discount off prime becomes less favourable, directly impacting borrowers’ costs.

Evaluating the actual discount from prime, rather than focusing solely on the rate, is critical when considering adjustable-rate mortgages.

Financial Empathy During Uncertain Times

In industries prone to strikes or sudden income changes, lenders vary widely in their approach to financial empathy. Some lenders are quick to damage a borrower’s credit score or refuse to renew existing mortgages during difficult times. Others show understanding by offering deferred payment options to help borrowers weather financial challenges.

With our ever-changing market, assessing a lender’s flexibility and empathy is a vital part of the evaluation process. These factors, along with rate comparisons, go into the discussions we have with clients to ensure they’re set up for success in any scenario.

What You’ll Learn in The Mortgage Code

I explore these topics and more in my book, The Mortgage Code. This guide gives borrowers the tools they need to navigate the mortgage market with confidence, helping them understand how factors like market shifts, lender policies, and economic uncertainty can affect their financial future.

Order The Mortgage Code on Amazon. https://www.amazon.ca/Mortgage-Code-Helping-Property-Mistakes-ebook/dp/B07HFHR8TV

Key Takeaways for Borrowers

Understand the risks and rewards: Adjustable rates can offer flexibility and savings, but they come with unpredictability.

Evaluate lender policies: Consider how your lender handles deferred payments, renewals, and financial hardships.

Stay informed about rate discounts: The actual discount off prime, lock-in policies, and penalties matter in addition to just the rate itself.

Work with a trusted advisor: Our experience ensures every aspect of your financial situation is considered, not just the numbers.

 

Mortgage decisions are more than just choosing between fixed and adjustable rates—they’re about finding the right fit for your life and goals. Let’s work together to ensure you have clarity and confidence in every decision.

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

New Insurer Rules Recap

General Angela Calla 10 Dec

New Rules Recap

As you may already know, we have some great new rules coming into effect on December 15th.

Want a quick recap? Here you go:

30yr amortizations:

Purchase price increase:

  • The purchase price of an insured purchase goes up to $1.5M
  • Downpayment: Remains 5% of the first $500K and 10% of the balance

Have more questions? Reach out to us directly at callateam@countoncalla.ca or 604-802-3983.

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

November Jobless Rate Surges to 6.8% in Canada Despite Strong Jobs Growth

General Angela Calla 10 Dec

The Surge In Canadian Unemployment Keeps Another Jumbo Rate Cut In Play In December

Before the release of today’s Canadian Labour Force Data, the odds favoured a 25 basis point drop in the overnight policy rate when the Bank of Canada meets again on December 11th. The data showed more substantial than expected job creation, as the country added 51,000 net new positions in November compared to the expected rise of 25,000. However, nearly 90% of the job growth was in the public sector, dampening enthusiasm.

Public sector employment rose by 45,000 (+1.0%) in November and accounted for the majority of the overall employment gain in the month. The number of private sector employees and the number of self-employed people were both little changed in November.

The number of public-sector employees grew by 127,000 (+2.9%) in November compared with 12 months earlier. The increase was driven by the public-sector components of health care and social assistance (+81,000) and educational services (+48,000) (not seasonally adjusted). Over the same period, private-sector employment rose at a slower pace (+1.3%; +173,000).

Despite the sharp rise in employment, the jobless rate surged to its highest level in three years, bolstering the case for the BoC to consider another 50 bps rate cut next week. Statistics Canada said Friday that unemployment jumped 0.3 percentage points to 6.8%. The jobless rate is now the highest since January 2017 excluding the pandemic period.

Interest rates fell on the news. Traders in overnight swaps boosted the odds of a 50 basis-point cut at the Bank of Canada’s decision next week at more than three-quarters, from about a coin flip previously. The report was released at the same time as US nonfarm payrolls, which rose by 227,000 while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%.

The report underscores ongoing labour market softness that had already convinced the Bank of Canada to ramp up the pace of rate cuts with a 50 basis-point reduction in October.

Other details in the report pointed to a slowing economy. Hours worked dipped 0.2%, posting its third decline in the past four months. Also flagging was wage inflation, which cooled considerably. After remaining very strong for months, wage inflation dipped to 4.1% in November, down from 4.9% in October and marking its slowest pace in two years.

After falling for six consecutive months from May to October, the employment rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older who are employed—held steady at 60.6% in November. Employment growth in the month kept pace with growth in the population aged 15 and older in the Labour Force Survey (LFS) (+0.2%). On a year-over-year basis, the employment rate was down 1.2 percentage points.

The proportion of long-term unemployed people has increased along with the unemployment rate. In November, 21.7% had been continuously unemployed for 27 weeks or more, up 5.9 percentage points from a year earlier.

The labour force participation rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older who were employed or looking for work—increased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.1% in November, offsetting a cumulative decline of 0.3 percentage points in September and October. The participation rate was down by 0.5 percentage points on a year-over-year basis.

Bottom Line

Monetary policy remains overly restrictive as the 3.75% overnight policy rate remains well above the inflation rate. We expect the overnight rate to fall to 2.5% by April or June of next year. This should continue boosting housing activity, which increased significantly in October and November.

Last week’s GDP data release showed that Canada’s third-quarter GDP grew a mere 1.0%, well below the Bank’s downwardly revised forecast of 1.5%. This, in combination with today’s employment report, bodes well for the Bank of Canada to consider cutting rates by another 50 bps seriously. However, given how aggressive they have been compared to the Federal Reserve, which will undoubtedly cut rates by only 25 bps in late December, they could be satisfied with a 25 bp cut for now.

Article courtesy of Dr. Sherry Cooper, Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

December 2024 Newsletter

General Angela Calla 3 Dec

Welcome to the December issue of my monthly newsletter!
As the end of the year approaches, I wanted to have one more check-in with you and provide some final tips for 2024! Scroll down and check out my favourite home and finance resolutions, along with some tips for decluttering your home in preparation for 2025. Have a great month!

Resolutions for Your Home and Finances

As the new year approaches, it’s a natural time to reflect on our personal goals and set resolutions for the months ahead. Your home and finances are key areas where small, intentional changes can lead to big improvements in security, stability, and quality of life.

Here are some resolutions to get you started!

Create a Realistic Home Budget

A well-planned budget is essential for financial peace of mind. Whether you’re new to budgeting or want to refine your approach, creating a realistic budget helps prioritize spending, track bills, and put money toward meaningful goals.

  • Identify Fixed and Variable Expenses: List out fixed costs, like mortgage payments, utilities, and insurance, as well as variable ones, such as groceries and entertainment.
  • Set Savings Goals: Include savings as a “non-negotiable” in your budget, earmarking funds for home repairs, investments, or emergencies.
  • Track and Adjust: Track spending throughout the month and adjust where necessary. Financial apps like Mint or You Need a Budget (YNAB) make it easier to stay on course.

Set Goals to Build Home Equity

Building home equity is a key path to increasing net worth. Whether you’re planning to sell or stay in your home long-term, building equity can offer financial flexibility and security.

  • Make Extra Mortgage Payments: Even a small additional payment toward your mortgage principal each month can shorten your loan term and reduce interest costs. A biweekly payment plan is another effective method to pay down the principal faster.
  • Consider Strategic Home Improvements: Invest in upgrades that boost home value, like kitchen and bathroom remodels, or energy-efficient upgrades like new windows or solar panels. Prioritize improvements that add the most value to your property.

Develop a Plan to Pay Down Debt

Paying down debt (especially after the holidays!) can help free up cash flow. It is key to focus on high-interest debts first, such as credit cards, to maximize your payments.

  • Use the Debt Avalanche or Snowball Method: The avalanche method involves paying off high-interest debts first, while the snowball method focuses on smaller debts first. Choose the one that best fits your motivation style
  • Consider Refinancing or Consolidation: If you have a high-interest mortgage or multiple debts, refinancing or consolidating might reduce interest rates, making debt repayment more manageable
  • Celebrate Milestones: Paying off debt can feel challenging, so celebrate progress. Every milestone achieved brings you closer to financial freedom.?

Commit to Energy Efficiency to Lower Bills

Saving on energy costs can have a significant impact on your budget, especially in colder or warmer months. Simple changes around the home can save you money while benefiting the environment!

  • Invest in Smart Thermostats: A programmable thermostat can automatically adjust heating and cooling based on your schedule, saving energy when you’re not home.
  • Switch to LED Lighting: LED bulbs use significantly less energy and have a longer lifespan than traditional bulbs.
  • Insulate Windows and Doors: Adding weatherstripping to doors and windows keeps drafts out, making your heating and cooling systems more efficient.

Review Your Insurance Policies and Coverage

Insurance is a key element of financial security, but it’s easy to forget about it until something goes wrong. As you head into the new year, this is a great time to make sure you’re fully covered!

  • Assess Homeowners and Mortgage Insurance: Review coverage limits and ensure your policy covers potential risks, including natural disasters if you live in high-risk areas.
  • Shop for Better Rates: Contact your provider for discounts or shop around for new rates. Bundling policies, like home and auto insurance, can often yield savings.
  • Update Beneficiaries and Coverage: Life circumstances change, and your insurance should reflect that. Update your beneficiaries, adjust coverage, and ensure policies align with your financial goals.

Setting resolutions for your home and finances doesn’t have to be daunting! Start with small, actionable goals to help transform your finances – and your mindset – for 2025!

12 Tips for Decluttering Your Space

Decluttering can bring a sense of calm and order to your space, especially as the holiday season approaches.

 

Here are some practical tips to help get organized:

  1. Start Small and Set Achievable Goals: Avoid overwhelm by breaking down the decluttering process into manageable steps. Set realistic goals, such as dedicating just 15 minutes a day to tidying up. Begin with a small area—like a single drawer or shelf—and gradually expand to larger spaces as you build momentum and confidence.
  2. Use the “One-In, One-Out” Rule: For every new item you bring into your home, make it a rule to remove an old one. This simple habit keeps your space from accumulating unnecessary items and helps maintain a balanced, organized environment.
  3. Sort and Categorize with Purpose: Sorting items as you go makes it easier to stay organized and keep track of where everything belongs. Use boxes or bins labeled “Keep,” “Donate,” “Sell,” and “Recycle/Trash” to give each item a clear destination. This method ensures that you can tackle everything in one go without second-guessing.
  4. Focus on Essentials and Joy: When deciding what to keep, ask yourself, “Does this item serve a purpose, or does it bring me joy?” If the answer is no, it’s probably time to let it go. Focusing on essentials and things that spark joy can help you make more meaningful decisions about what truly belongs in your home.
  5. Digitize Paper Clutter: Free up physical space by scanning or photographing important documents and storing them digitally. Use cloud storage or an external hard drive to keep these files secure and easily accessible. This practice reduces paper clutter and provides a backup in case of loss or damage.
  6. Declutter in Layers for Lasting Results: Tackle clutter in layers to avoid feeling overwhelmed. Start with the most obvious items—like broken or rarely used belongings—and gradually work your way through more sentimental or difficult-to-decide items. Revisiting each area multiple times helps you refine your space down to the things you truly need or cherish.
  7. Adopt a “Capsule” Mindset for Clothes and Accessories: Build a capsule wardrobe by focusing on versatile, high-quality clothing pieces that you love and regularly wear. Store out-of-season items separately to keep your main closet neat and functional. This approach simplifies decision-making and can make daily routines smoother.
  8. Set Up Regular Decluttering Routines: Make decluttering a habit by scheduling quick, regular clean-ups—a few minutes each day or a larger session every month. Consistency prevents clutter from building up over time and helps you maintain a tidy, organized space effortlessly.
  9. Involve the Whole Family: Encourage family members to declutter their own spaces and lead by example. Demonstrating the benefits of a tidy, organized home can inspire everyone to participate, making the whole process faster and more enjoyable.
  10. Treat Your Space as “Prime Real Estate”: View the most visible and accessible areas of your home as “prime real estate.” Reserve these spaces for the items you use and love the most, and relocate or discard things that aren’t worth taking up valuable room.
  11. Embrace Simple Storage Solutions: Use baskets, bins, and clear containers to keep your belongings organized and out of sight. Labeling containers makes it easy to find what you need at a glance, keeping everything in order while reducing visual clutter.
  12. Reevaluate Seasonal Items Regularly: After each season, go through holiday decorations, seasonal clothing, and other temporary items to decide what’s worth keeping. Donate, sell, or discard anything you no longer use. This ongoing process will help prevent excess accumulation year after year.

 

These tips can help you create a cleaner, more peaceful environment and build habits to stay organized in the long term. Happy decluttering!

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

There is an unprecedented disparity between the economic and financial situation in the US and Canada. The Canadian economy is far more interest-sensitive than the US and, therefore, slowed more dramatically in response to the Bank of Canada’s restrictive policy to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.

The jobless rate in Canada has reached 6.5%, well above the level in the US, and job vacancy rates have plummeted. Wage inflation has been sticky at 4.9% but will likely edge downward in response to excess supply in the labour market.

Inflation accelerated to 2% y/y in October, compared to the cycle-low 1.6% in September, mainly because gasoline price deflation slowed. The odds of another 50 bps rate cut by the central bank—on the heels of a jumbo cut in October—have diminished, but a 25 bps cut is in the bag.

Market-driven interest rates in Canada are well below those in the US, owing to weaker economic activity and lower inflation. US interest rates surged on the news of the Trump election victory. Ten-year US Treasury yields rose sharply to a post-election high of nearly 4.5% on the presumption that with a Republican majority in the House and the Senate, Trump will move ahead with tax cuts, tariffs and deregulation. Trump has also threatened to limit the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Canadian long-term yields have risen far less since the election. Short-term interest rates are also lower in Canada than in the US. The Bank of Canada has eased monetary policy four times for a total decline in the overnight policy rate of 125 bps, compared to only one rate cut of 50 bps by the Fed. This unprecedented divergence bodes well for a rebounding housing market in Canada.

Housing activity picked up in October and early November in response to the surge in new listings, giving potential buyers a broader range of choices and lower interest rates. The steepening yield curve portends more significant declines in variable mortgage rates—tied to the prime rate, which declines with every cut in the overnight rate, than fixed rates, which move with longer-term bond yields.

The Bank of Canada, concerned about a weakening Canadian economy, will continue to cut the overnight rate at every meeting between now and mid-2025. By then, the policy rate will be roughly 2.5%, half the level at the peak in BoC tightening. This will likely trigger a robust spring housing season.

There is plenty of pent-up activity in the Canadian housing market as buyers have waited for lower interest rates and home prices, and sellers have been reticent to list their properties, hoping for a housing recovery. This is beginning to turn around as every easing move by the Bank of Canada boosts economic activity, particularly in the interest-sensitive housing sector.

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

55+, Equity-Rich But Cash-Poor?

General Angela Calla 28 Nov

I’d like to share some important information about reverse mortgages, a financial tool that is often misunderstood but can provide incredible benefits for Canadian homeowners aged 55 and older.

There’s a lot of misinformation surrounding reverse mortgages, so let’s set the record straight:

  1. Myth: The bank will own my home.
    Truth: You remain the homeowner and keep the title.
  2. Myth: I’ll owe more than my home’s worth.
    Truth: Reverse mortgages in Canada have safeguards to ensure you won’t owe more than the home’s value.
  3. Myth: It’s only for people in financial trouble.
    Truth: Many clients use reverse mortgages for smart financial planning, such as funding retirement or helping loved ones.

The Benefits of a Reverse Mortgage

A reverse mortgage allows you to:

  • Access up to 55% of your home’s value, tax-free.
  • Stay in the home you love without monthly mortgage payments.
  • Use the funds however you like—renovations, travel, helping loved ones with tuition or a down payment or supplementing retirement income.

A Real-Life Example

Let me introduce you to Mark and Susan, a retired couple who found themselves house-rich but cash-poor. They loved their home of 30 years and didn’t want to downsize, but they needed funds to cover rising living expenses and help their granddaughter with tuition.

Through a reverse mortgage, Mark and Susan unlocked $250,000 from their home equity, tax-free. They were able to:

  • Cover their granddaughter’s tuition without dipping into their savings.
  • Make long-overdue home renovations.
  • Enjoy a worry-free retirement with financial flexibility.

When their home is eventually sold, the loan will be repaid, and their children will still inherit the remaining equity.

Could This Be Right for You?

If you’re curious about how a reverse mortgage might fit into your financial plan, we’d be happy to connect to discuss your options.

Let’s chat! Simply reply to this email, or feel free to call us at 604-802-3983 to set up a no-obligation consultation.

Looking forward to helping you make the most of your retirement!

P.S. Know someone else who could benefit from this information? Feel free to forward this information to them!

 

 

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Canadian Inflation increased to 2.0% y/y in October–up from 1.6% in September owing to a smaller decline in gasoline prices

General Angela Calla 27 Nov

October Inflation Rose to 2.0% As Gasoline Price Declines Were More Muted

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.0% year-over-year in October, up from a 1.6% increase in September. Gasoline prices fell to a lesser extent in October (-4.0%) compared with September (-10.7%). The all-items CPI, excluding gasoline, rose 2.2% in October, the same growth rate as in August and September.

The smaller decline is partly attributed to a base-year effect, as prices fell 6.4% month over month in October 2023, stemming from lower refining margins and weaker global oil consumption.

On a monthly basis, prices for gasoline were up 0.7% in October, following a 7.1% decline in September.

Slower rise in shelter prices

Shelter price growth continued to ease in October, rising 4.8% year over year, compared with a 5.0% increase in September. Slower price growth in the mortgage interest cost index in October (+14.7%) compared with September (+16.7%) applied downward pressure on the shelter component. Mortgage interest costs have been decelerating year-over-year since September 2023, following a peak in August 2023 (+30.9%).

Similarly, rent prices grew at a slower pace in October, increasing 7.3% on a year-over-year basis, following an 8.2% gain in September. Nova Scotia (+5.2%) and Manitoba (+6.5%) decelerated the most. Although slowing, rent prices continue to increase and remain elevated. Compared with October 2021, rent prices increased 21.6%.

 

The central bank’s two preferred core inflation measures also quickened, averaging 2.55% yearly pace, faster than expectations and up from 2.35% a month earlier. According to Bloomberg calculations, a three-month moving average of those measures rose to an annualized pace of 2.8% from 2.1% in September.

After the release, overnight swaps traders trimmed their bets for a second consecutive large rate cut to about one in three, from a little less than a coin flip previously.

Bottom Line

The first acceleration of headline inflation in five months may bolster a case for the Bank of Canada to reduce borrowing costs gradually. After officials stepped up the pace of easing in October with a half-point cut, the next and this year’s final rate decision is on Dec. 11.

Still, Tuesday’s inflation print didn’t eliminate bets for another jumbo rate cut. That’s because the central bank had already expected a bump along the road, with consumer prices hovering around 2%, as policymakers keep cutting rates to boost economic growth.

When Governor Tiff Macklem and his officials delivered their outsize rate cut last month, they said they wanted to see a pickup in growth and demand. Preliminary industry-based data point to 1% annualized GDP growth in the third quarter, below the central bank’s 1.5% estimate. Final expenditure-based gross domestic product data is due at the end of this month.

The November employment report, released on December 6, is another critical data point for the central bank. The unemployment rate has been steady at 6.5% for the past two months. A meaningful rise in the jobless rate could encourage the Governing Council to go another 50 bps lower at their next meeting. That and GDP figures (released on November 29) will be watched closely to game the Bank of Canada’s next move. A 25 bps cut in the overnight policy rate is in the bag. A 50-bps cut is less likely.

Either way, the overnight policy rate, now at 3.75%, will be cut to roughly 2.5% by the middle of next year. This will continue to spur housing activity and could augur for a robust spring housing season.

Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code“, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

 

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