Canadian home sales rose again in November as new listings declined and prices rose

General Angela Calla 18 Dec

The Canadian Housing Market Strengthens Further

Home sales activity recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems rose again in November, building on October’s surprise jump.

Sales were up 2.8% m/m in November compared to October and now stand a cumulative 18.4% above where they were in May, just before the first interest rate cut in early June. Actual (not seasonally adjusted) monthly activity was 26% above November 2023.

The November increase was driven by gains in Greater Vancouver, Calgary, Greater Toronto, and Montreal and double-digit sales increases in smaller cities in Alberta and Ontario.

According to Shaun Cathcart, CREA’s Senior Economist, “Not only were sales up again but with market conditions now starting to tighten up, November also saw prices move materially higher at the national level for the first time in almost a year and a half. Normally, we might expect this market rebound to take a pause before resuming in the spring; however, the Bank of Canada’s latest 50-basis point cut together with a loosening of mortgage rules could mean a more active winter market than normal.”

New Listings

New listings edged down 0.5% month-over-month in November, building on a larger 3% decline in October. With sales also rising in November, the national sales-to-new listings ratio tightened to 59.2%, up from 57.3% in October. Between April and September this year, the measure had been in the 52% to 53% range. The long-term average for the national sales-to-new listings ratio is 55%, with a sales-to-new listings ratio between 45% and 65%, generally consistent with balanced housing market conditions.

“October and November marked the start of the long-awaited rebound in resale housing activity, with the combination of lower borrowing costs and more properties to choose from coaxing buyers off the sidelines,” said James Mabey, CREA Chair.

A little more than 160,000 properties were listed for sale on all Canadian MLS® Systems at the end of November 2024, up 8.9% from a year earlier but still below the long-term average for that time of the year of around 178,000 listings.

There were 3.7 months of inventory nationally at the end of November 2024, down from 3.8 months at the end of October and the lowest level in 14 months. The long-term average is 5.1 months of inventory, with a seller’s market below about 3.6 months and a buyer’s market above 6.5 months.

 

 

 

 

Home Prices

The non-seasonally adjusted National Composite MLS® HPI stood 1.2% below November 2023, the smallest decline since last April. The non-seasonally adjusted national average home price was $694,411 in November 2024, up 7.4% from November 2023.

 

Bottom Line

The Bank of Canada’s aggressive rate-cutting and regulatory changes that make housing somewhat more affordable have provided kindling for the Canadian housing market. While the conflagration isn’t likely to peak until spring, a seasonally strong period for housing, activity has already started to pick up. The November uptick in home prices could provide more impetus for potential buyers to move off the sidelines. The new housing initiatives go into effect today and tomorrow.

Debt-to-income ratios for Canadian households have improved as growth in disposable incomes continues to outpace borrowing. This bodes well for more robust residential real estate activity as the Bank of Canada continues to cut rates, albeit at a slower pace. We expect quarter-point rate cuts until the overnight rate, now at 3.25%, falls to 2.5% or even lower if US tariffs are introduced.

Article Courtesy of Dr. Sherry Cooper, Chief Economist, DLC

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

The Bank of Canada Cuts Its Policy Rate By Another 50 Basis Points

General Angela Calla 12 Dec

The Surge In Canadian Unemployment Keeps Another Jumbo Rate Cut In Play In December

The BoC slashed the overnight rate by 50 bps this morning, bringing the policy rate down to 3.25%. The market had priced in nearly 90% odds of a 50 bp move, where consensus coalesced. The combined slower-than-expected GDP growth and a sharp rise in the Canadian unemployment rate to 6.8% triggered the Bank’s second consecutive jumbo rate cut. Today’s move will take the prime rate down 50 bps to 5.45% effective tomorrow, reducing floating rate mortgage loan rates by a half point, easing the cost of borrowing and reducing the monthly payment increase for renewals. This should spark housing activity, which accelerated in October and November.

The policy rate is now at the top of the estimated neutral rate range, 2.25% to 3.25%, with more moderate rate cuts continuing into next year. However, monetary policy remains restrictive, as the 3.25% policy rate is still 125 basis points above inflation, which has declined to roughly 2%, the Bank’s inflation target.

Economists have suggested that the tone of the central bank’s press release is more hawkish than before, unsurprising following two consecutive jumbo rate cuts. The Bank continues to say that its future decisions are data-dependent and will be impacted by policy measures taken by the government. In particular, the Bank highlighted the coming GST cuts, dispersal of bonus checks and the significant reduction in immigration. These developments have offsetting implications for inflation.

Governor Macklem signalled that he anticipated “a more gradual approach to monetary policy” in his press conference. We are forecasting 25 bp rate cuts through at least the first half of next year. That would take the overnight rate down to 2.5% by early June, a huge boost to housing that will likely enjoy a strong spring season.

 

 

 

 

 

Monetary policy remains overly restrictive as the 3.75% overnight policy rate remains well above the inflation rate. We expect the overnight rate to fall to 2.5% by April or June of next year. This should continue boosting housing activity, which increased significantly in October and November.

Last week’s GDP data release showed that Canada’s third-quarter GDP grew a mere 1.0%, well below the Bank’s downwardly revised forecast of 1.5%. This, in combination with today’s employment report, bodes well for the Bank of Canada to consider cutting rates by another 50 bps seriously. However, given how aggressive they have been compared to the Federal Reserve, which will undoubtedly cut rates by only 25 bps in late December, they could be satisfied with a 25 bp cut for now.

 

Dr. Sherry Cooper
Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres

drsherrycooper@dominionlending.ca

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

55+, Equity-Rich But Cash-Poor?

General Angela Calla 28 Nov

I’d like to share some important information about reverse mortgages, a financial tool that is often misunderstood but can provide incredible benefits for Canadian homeowners aged 55 and older.

There’s a lot of misinformation surrounding reverse mortgages, so let’s set the record straight:

  1. Myth: The bank will own my home.
    Truth: You remain the homeowner and keep the title.
  2. Myth: I’ll owe more than my home’s worth.
    Truth: Reverse mortgages in Canada have safeguards to ensure you won’t owe more than the home’s value.
  3. Myth: It’s only for people in financial trouble.
    Truth: Many clients use reverse mortgages for smart financial planning, such as funding retirement or helping loved ones.

The Benefits of a Reverse Mortgage

A reverse mortgage allows you to:

  • Access up to 55% of your home’s value, tax-free.
  • Stay in the home you love without monthly mortgage payments.
  • Use the funds however you like—renovations, travel, helping loved ones with tuition or a down payment or supplementing retirement income.

A Real-Life Example

Let me introduce you to Mark and Susan, a retired couple who found themselves house-rich but cash-poor. They loved their home of 30 years and didn’t want to downsize, but they needed funds to cover rising living expenses and help their granddaughter with tuition.

Through a reverse mortgage, Mark and Susan unlocked $250,000 from their home equity, tax-free. They were able to:

  • Cover their granddaughter’s tuition without dipping into their savings.
  • Make long-overdue home renovations.
  • Enjoy a worry-free retirement with financial flexibility.

When their home is eventually sold, the loan will be repaid, and their children will still inherit the remaining equity.

Could This Be Right for You?

If you’re curious about how a reverse mortgage might fit into your financial plan, we’d be happy to connect to discuss your options.

Let’s chat! Simply reply to this email, or feel free to call us at 604-802-3983 to set up a no-obligation consultation.

Looking forward to helping you make the most of your retirement!

P.S. Know someone else who could benefit from this information? Feel free to forward this information to them!

 

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

New immigration plan aims to stabilize population growth, housing market: minister | CBC News

General Angela Calla 27 Nov

The federal government’s new immigration levels plan will stabilize population growth and relieve pressure on the housing market, Immigration Minister Marc Miller said Thursday.

As CBC News reported Wednesday, the government is cutting the projected number of new permanent residents from 485,000 this year to 395,000 in 2025, with further cuts to 380,000 in 2026 and 365,000 in 2027.

Under the previous plan released last November, Canada was expected to admit about 500,000 in both 2025 and 2026.

Read the full article HERE


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Bank of Canada Rate Cuts and Your Mortgage

General Angela Calla 28 Oct

Exciting times ahead in the world of mortgages! On Global News this past week, I discussed how VRM (Variable Rate Mortgage) holders can benefit from the recent rate cuts and how it compares to an ARM (Adjustable Rate Mortgage). With so many details affecting the cost of borrowing, understanding the terms of your mortgage is essential! Mortgage Renewals need this unbiased advice to avoid costly mistakes while navigating our changing market.

While fixed rates are also down, they’re tied to the bond market—NOT this latest 50bps decrease.

As an independent, unbiased broker, our team helps clients explore all their options to find the best fit for their unique situation.

Now is a fantastic time to create a purchase plan, especially as rates continue to fall and new affordability measures take effect. Whether you’re looking to save on closing costs with a new build, plan for a down payment, or just explore options, my team and I are here to help.

For 20 years, it’s been a pleasure assisting our clients in securing their financial futures, and we are looking forward to the next 20.

Click on the image below for the segment.

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Latest Bank of Canada Rate Announcement & What It Means for You

General Angela Calla 23 Oct

This morning, the Bank of Canada made its highly anticipated announcement, confirming a 50 basis point decrease in interest rates.  Bank Prime is expected to follow from its current 6.45% down to 5.95% for most banks.  We are here to explain exactly what this means for you and how you can benefit from these changes.

 

How Does This Impact You?

• For those with an adjustable-rate mortgage, this decrease could lower your monthly payments on a $500,000 mortgage by approximately $150 a month.

• If you’re approaching your mortgage renewal, now is the time to reassess your options. This rate change opens up the opportunity to secure a lower rate and save thousands over the life of your mortgage.

• Looking to buy? This rate cut, combined with recent federal mortgage changes, could improve your qualification chances and increase your purchasing power, just as the market presents unique buying opportunities with more inventory.

 

Read the official press release from the Bank of Canada here

 

The next rate announcement is scheduled for December 11th, so this is the perfect window to review your current mortgage strategy. We’re here to help with:

 

• Mortgage reviews to ensure you’re maximizing savings

• Refinancing or renewals to secure the best available rates

• Home purchase options for buyers looking to take advantage of this favorable moment

 

As your Mortgage Broker, one of the many benefits for ANY mortgage is as rates continue to decrease, we do a full look back upon closing to ensure the lowest rate while protecting your credit.

Additionally, if you’d like to review other financial strategies outside of your mortgage, such as retirement planning, wealth protection, or tax strategies, we’re happy to introduce you to our trusted financial planning partners. This holistic approach can help you build and protect wealth for the future.

Please don’t hesitate to reach out if you have any questions or would like a personal review of your mortgage options. We’re here to ensure you get the best outcome!

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

Federal Mortgage Changes and Potential Rate Drops: What You Need to Know

General Angela Calla 21 Oct

As you may have heard, there’s a strong forecast that the Bank of Canada may decrease rates by as much as 50 basis points. But that’s not the only good news for homeowners and buyers! Recent federal changes to mortgage policies are also opening new doors for Canadians across the board.

How do these changes impact you?

1.      Lower Rates = Lower Payments

If you’re holding an adjustable-rate mortgage, a 50-point drop could save you about $150 a month on a $500,000 mortgage. Even a 25-point decrease could shave $75 off your monthly payments, which adds up over time. If you’re renewing your mortgage soon, this is the perfect chance to lock in better rates and potentially save thousands.

2.      Better Qualification for Buyers

With the federal mortgage changes, qualifying for a mortgage just got easier, especially with:

•       Increased insured purchase price caps
•       Flexibility for those renewing who were previously insured, now avoiding the stress test

This, combined with lower interest rates, means you can stretch your budget further, just as the market is showing more inventory.

Now is the time to act!

These combined changes are a huge advantage for those looking to buy, renew, or refinance. The potential to save and qualify for more has never been better. Don’t wait – let’s get started today.

Learn more about the recent federal changes and how they can benefit you in our full blog post.

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

More Good News On The Canadian Inflation Front

General Angela Calla 17 Oct

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.6% year over year in September, the slowest pace since February 2021 and down from a 2.0% gain in August 2024. The main contributor to headline deceleration was lower year-over-year gasoline prices in September (-10.7%) compared with August (-5.1%). The all-items CPI, excluding gasoline, rose 2.2% in September, matching the increase in August for this measure.

Although the rate at which prices increase has slowed, price levels remain elevated. Compared with September 2021, the CPI rose 12.7% in September. Canadians continue to feel the impact of higher price levels for day-to-day basics such as rent (+21.0%) and food purchased from stores (+20.7%), which increased during that same 3-year period.

The CPI fell 0.4% in September after a 0.2% decline in August. Lower gasoline prices led to both the monthly and yearly movement in September. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI remained unchanged at 0.0%.

 

The central bank’s two core inflation measures remain sticky. Both measures were unchanged in September (see chart below). According to Bloomberg calculations, a three-month moving average of those measures fell to an annualized pace of 2.1% from 2.3% in August.

According to Bloomberg News, “After the release, traders in overnight swaps upped their bets that the Bank of Canada will opt for a larger rate cut at next week’s decision, putting the odds of a half-percentage-point reduction at about 75%. Previously, the odds were around 50%.” The Canadian dollar weakened further on the news relative to the greenback. The loonie has fallen for ten days, the longest streak since 2017. Canadian debt rallied across the yield curve, outperforming US Treasuries and pushing the two-year Canada benchmark yield to 3.03% and the 5-year bond yield to 2.92% by mid-day.

Tuesday’s data marks the first time since February 2021 that inflation is below the central bank’s 2% target and is the ninth straight month of headline rates running within its target range.

With inflationary pressures continuing to ebb and policymakers focusing more on preserving economic growth, the data give the central bank options to reduce rates quicker after cutting borrowing costs at 25 basis points at the past three meetings.

Bottom Line

While the September employment data were stronger than expected, Q3 GDP growth is slated to be roughly 1.8%, well below the Bank of Canada’s 2.8% forecast. Today’s inflation report is the last important data point before the Bank meets again on October 23. Late last month, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem warned that growth may be below policymakers’ previous expectations in Q3.

Excluding shelter costs, the consumer price index rose 0.4% from a year ago compared to 0.5% in August. Mortgage interest costs and rent remained the most significant contributors to the annual inflation rate change. However, rent prices increased at a slower pace in September, rising 8.2% versus 8.9% in August. Tuition fees, priced annually in September, also grew slower, increasing 1.8% compared with 2.5% last year.

Regionally, inflation is now at or below 2% in every province, with prices rising slower in September than in August in all ten provinces. The central bank will release new economic forecasts in the Monetary Policy Report next week. Macklem has said,  “decisive monetary policy action and the unblocking of supply chains” means “uncertainty about costs and inflation are much lower today than two years ago”.

Article courtesy of Dr. Sherry Cooper, Chief Economist – DLC

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

October 2024 Newsletter

General Angela Calla 9 Oct

Welcome to the October issue of my monthly newsletter!
It’s spooky season, but thankfully with the latest Bank of Canada rate cuts, your mortgage doesn’t have to be! Find out what the decreased interest rates mean for you, plus check out my tips to alleviate your financial stress this Fall.

Scroll down for all the details!

What the Bank of Canada Rate Drops Mean for YOU!

With the Bank of Canada rate decreases throughout the summer and into September, I thought this would be a great opportunity to update you on what this means for your mortgage.

If you’re on an adjustable-rate mortgage, this will result in a slight decrease in your mortgage payments, giving you more cash flow each month!

For example, if your mortgage balance is $750,000 at the previous 6.20% interest rate your approx. compounded monthly payment was likely around $4,924. With the new rate of 5.95% your approx. compounded monthly payment on an adjustable-rate mortgage will be $4,809*. This is an estimated $115/m decrease ($15/m per 100k balance) on your payment. While it may not seem like much, it can certainly add up over time resulting in hundreds of dollars in savings.

*Rates based on example of Prime minus .50% (old prime 6.70 and new prime 6.45)

Borrowers with static-payment variable-rate mortgages will also benefit from Bank of Canada rate decreases. While the monthly payment stays the same on these types of mortgages, the lower interest rate means that more of your monthly payment will go towards paying down your mortgage principal, and less will go towards interest.

Fixed-rate mortgages do not change when the Bank of Canada increases or decreases rates. However, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage, this declining rate environment could make it easier when it comes time to renew or refinance your mortgage. Lower rates give you more borrowing power in the market – this means your money can go further!

Recent changes are also great news for first-time buyers! Not only does a lower interest rate allow for more qualification options and lower payments, but recent Government of Canada changes on mortgage rules have removed many barriers previously faced by first-time home buyers.

The Bank of Canada has two more decision dates this year in October and December. Experts anticipate the Bank of Canada will continue these quarter-point rate cuts, taking the overnight rate down to 4.0% at year-end and potentially down to 2.75% next year.

Whether you’re a current homeowner, looking to refinance or renew, or wanting to purchase, this is exciting news for Canadians across the country!

However, keep in mind rate is not the be-all-end-all of mortgages. Factors such as type of mortgage, down payment amount, payment schedule, amortization, prepayment penalties, and more will also affect your mortgage and affordability.

If you want more information about your specific mortgage and how this changing environment affects your situation, please don’t hesitate to reach out!

5 Tips to Manage Financial Stress

Despite the Bank of Canada taking steps to reduce interest rates, many Canadians still feel pressure due to the overall cost of living and inflation. This uncertainty can be unnerving for many individuals, but don’t fret!

I have some tips and suggestions to help you manage your financial stress and help you to power through these latest economic changes:

  1. Prioritize What You Can Control: It can be easy to feel like you have no control over your financial situation, especially with the economy in flux. However, dwelling on things you cannot fix will only cause more stress. Instead, we recommend focusing on what you CAN control within your situation. For instance, take a looking at your phone bill and services to see if you can reduce the cost (even temporarily), reviewing your grocery bill and looking for places to switch to cheaper brands or alternatives, perhaps buying in bulk. You’ll not only save money, but you will feel like you have more control and help reduce stress.
  2. Pay Essential Bills: If you are struggling to pay your monthly bills, prioritizing them can help you gain some control. Knowing which bills are most important to pay first can help reduce anxiety as you’re not scrambling to decide what to do. In some cases, prioritizing your bills can also help you uncover unnecessary spending and you may find something that can be eliminated entirely (even temporarily).
  3. Automate Payments and Savings: If you’re struggling to keep up with your bills and payments, or are finding that you keep saying you’ll save money, but aren’t, considering automation for your finances can be a step in the right direction. Ensuring that your bills are paid on time will help reduce stress and protect you from wasting money on penalties for missed payments. Alternatively, you can also set up automatic money transfers on the days you are paid to move funds into a separate, savings account before you even see it. Thereby, reducing the likelihood that you’ll skip adding to your savings that month or use that money elsewhere.
  4. Find Ways to Earn More Money: When cashflow is a problem and you are feeling the strain of trying to afford your current lifestyle, looking for ways to earn additional money can be a lifesaver! Consider part-time work for the weekends, consulting in your area of expertise or picking up extra hours at your current place of work. Now is also a great time to discuss with your manager if you are due for a raise.
  5. Talk to Your Mortgage Professional: For most people, their mortgage is their largest monthly bill. If you are feeling the financial crunch, now is a great time to talk to meabout potentially changing your payment schedule or even looking for a different mortgage product with better rates (ideally if you are at the end of your term). Do not hesitate to be honest about your situation and ask what your options are.

Regardless of where you find yourself financially, there are often many solutions to help reduce and resolve your stress and ensure that you have healthy monthly cashflow.

Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

Two significant developments in September will have a lasting positive impact on Canadian housing activity. First were Ottawa’s measures to make housing more affordable. Second was the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut.

Ottawa has come under increasing pressure to reduce immigration, build more housing, and help first-time homebuyers afford to buy a home. In response, the federal government increased the home price cap for insured mortgages from $1 million to $1.5 million. This is the first time the home value limit has been raised since 2012.

This will allow many more home purchasers to buy with a smaller downpayment (10% rather than 20%) and 30-year amortizations (up from 25 years for non-insured mortgages).

  • A $1.5 million home will now require a $125,000 down payment (8.33%). That’s less than half the current $300,000 required ante (assuming the feds keep the minimum down payment tiers the same)
  • The maximum insurance premium on a $1.5 million purchase with 30-year amortization will now be $57,750 (again, assuming 10% down on any purchase price portion over $500,000).

This will significantly impact high-cost real estate markets such as Vancouver and Toronto, where the selling prices average $1.1 million in Toronto and $1.2 million in Vancouver. In addition, all insured new-build buyers can get 30-year amortizations, not just first-time buyers.

With mortgage rates falling rapidly, these measures will accelerate the growth in housing demand.

Also, the good news was the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point rate cut, the first such cut in this cycle. Fifty is double the usual policy change increment. Such moves are typically reserved for emergency Fed meetings or clear and present liquidity threats. This opens the door for the Bank of Canada to have a super-sized rate cut in October or December. This bodes well for building home sales going into the all-important spring season.

Inflation has fallen considerably, and the Canadian unemployment rate has risen sharply. While retail sales for July showed a considerable rebound, it was mainly because of a surge in car sales. Nonetheless, spending growth pales in comparison to the population surge.

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

BC mortgage market: What’s in store for the rest of 2024?

General Angela Calla 27 Sep

Falling interest rates have raised hopes of a market resurgence

Affordability struggles and eyewatering house prices may have weighed down homebuying activity in British Columbia over the past two years – but falling interest rates are set to spur a busier market for the remainder of this year and into 2025, with mortgage brokers already gearing up for that trend.

Residential sales across the Multiple Listings Service (MLS) in the province should jump by 4.4% by the end of the year, according to the British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA), and rise by over 10,000 units throughout 2025.

While the total inventory of available homes is now at its highest level since 2019 in the province thanks to tepid market activity during the first half of 2024, two summer rate cuts by the Bank of Canada – and the near certainty of more reductions before the end of this year – suggest better times are ahead for BC’s housing and mortgage markets.

Angela Calla (pictured, top left), a broker-owner based in Port Coquitlam, told Canadian Mortgage Professional that the Bank of Canada’s rate cuts (which marked the first time it had lowered rates for over four years) had boosted buyer sentiment noticeably. “We’ve seen renewed optimism,” she said, “and desire for education on different strategies. The increased engagement has been fantastic to increase Canadians’ financial literacy.”

How will further rate cuts impact the mortgage outlook?

Further cuts are on the horizon in the months ahead, with the Bank widely expected to lower its policy rate by a further 25 basis points when it meets next week (September 4).

That would bring its trendsetting interest rate to 4.25%, down from a 23-year high of 5% at the beginning of the summer, and it likely wouldn’t be the last cut the central bank makes in 2024.

Calla said a likely resurgence in market activity as rates fall means those buyers who can afford to get into the market now shouldn’t hold off. “If you’re considering a purchase, don’t wait until the rates go down further,” she said.

“More competition is coming in the marketplace. Buy and wait – don’t wait to buy, as prices will increase with a larger pool of buyers.”

For Vancouver-based broker Kyle Green (pictured, top right), the city is unlikely to see a big upswing in housing market activity before the end of the year. Still, that’s not to say buyers won’t face a potentially more challenging landscape, one that could see momentum swing back toward sellers.

That would buck a trend that’s emerged thanks to greater buyer choice and milder competition of late. “I believe Vancouver will be a relatively flat market,” Green told CMP, “potentially [seeing] some small declines in prices as the inventory has increased substantially.

“However, dropping rates may counterbalance this switch from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market which has only really been a recent phenomenon.”

Could variable rates become more appealing for buyers and homeowners?

The central bank’s recent pivot towards rate cuts doesn’t appear to have shifted sentiment in the mortgage market away from shorter-term variable options as the most popular choice among borrowers.

While rock-bottom variable rates during the COVID-19 pandemic saw many borrowers flock to those mortgage types, the Bank’s aggressive series of rate hikes throughout 2022 and 2023 meant they increasingly opted for two-to-three-year fixed options to keep their own rates steady.

Calla said that hasn’t changed markedly – not yet, at least. “Most are still gravitating towards fixed rates for a shorter term,” she said. “Variables are most attractive for very qualified borrowers with smaller-than-average mortgage amounts or those planning to sell in the next year.”

Green said his clients are also mostly inclined to go fixed, “but the tide is starting to turn right now.” The percentage of new business coming through the door and considering variable options, he said, is inching towards 50%.

Brokers should also be attuned, he said, to refinance potential for clients in the current market. “There seems to be a potential opportunity to refinance clients who took a three-year fixed in the second half of 2023,” he highlighted.

“Running the numbers, there seem to be surplus savings right now – [so] dig into your databases, brokers.”

 


Angela Calla is an 19-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

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