Canadian Inflation Slows For The Second Consecutive Month

General Angela Calla 20 Sep

Inflation Cooled Again in August, But Higher Rates Still Coming

Canada’s headline inflation rate cooled again in August, even a bit more than expected. The consumer price index rose 7.0% from a year ago, down from 7.6% in July and a forty-year high of 8.1% in June, mainly on the back of lower gasoline prices.

The CPI fell 0.3% in August, the most significant monthly decline since the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.1%, the smallest gain since December 2020. The monthly gas price decline in August compared with July mainly stemmed from higher global production by oil-producing countries. According to data from Natural Resources Canada, refining margins also fell from higher levels in July.Transportation (+10.3%) and shelter (+6.6%) prices drove the deceleration in consumer prices in August. Moderating the slowing in prices were sustained higher prices for groceries, as prices for food purchased from stores (+10.8%) rose at the fastest pace since August 1981 (+11.9%).

Price growth for goods and services both slowed on a year-over-year basis in August. As non-durable goods (+10.8%) decelerated due to lower prices at the pump, services associated with travel and shelter services contributed the most to the slowdown in service prices (+5.5%). Prices for durable goods (+6.0%), such as passenger vehicles and appliances, also cooled in August.

In August, the average hourly wages rose 5.4% on a year-over-year basis, meaning that, on average, prices rose faster than wages. Although Canadians experienced a decline in purchasing power, the gap was smaller than in July.

Core inflation–which excludes food and energy prices–also decelerated but remains far too high for the Bank of Canada’s comfort.  The central bank analyzes three measures of core inflation (see the chart below). The average of the central bank’s three key measures dropped to 5.23% from a revised 5.43% in July, a record high. The Bank aims to return these measures to their 2% target.

Bottom Line

Price pressures might have peaked, but today’s data release will not derail the central bank’s intention to raise rates further. Markets expect another rate hike in late October when the Governing Council of the Bank of Canada meets again. But further moves are likely to be smaller than the 75 bps-hikes of the past summer.

There is still more than a month of data before the October 25th decision date. The September employment report (released on October 7) and the September CPI (October 19) will be critical to the Bank’s decision. Right now, we expect a 50-bps hike next month.

This article is courtesy of the Sherry Cooper Assoc.


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

inflation

Mortgage Renewal Webinar

General Angela Calla 16 Sep

The Bank of Canada has made it clear they are not done with interest rate hikes. We want to ensure that those up for mortgage renewals in the next 24 months take extra care when navigating the market to ensure the best mortgage strategy.

If a renewal date is coming up for you or a loved one and are looking for ways to navigate this current market, we want to provide the tools you necessary to make the best possible next steps for yourselves.

Join us on Thursday, September, 29th, at 7:00 PM for our Mortgage Renewal Webinar. In it, we will provide all you need to know about mortgage renewals and other mortgage options so you can decide if that is the best path forward in your journey. Whether it is consolidating all your debt, deciding whether to go fixed or variable, or even a reverse mortgage to gain extra financial security in hand.

Follow the link HERE to sign up, completely FREE! Be sure to send in your questions on the sign-up page in advance and we’ll be sure to answer your questions!

The Angela Calla Mortgage Team


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

trigger rate

Opinion: How high should interest rates go and how fast?

General Angela Calla 13 Sep

Should Bank of Canada continue to hike rates aggressively or take a more cautious approach? There are good arguments on both sides

The Bank of Canada continued its tightening cycle last week by announcing a 75-basis-point increase in its overnight rate target. That target is now above the top end of the Bank’s estimate of the “neutral rate” of two to three per cent. But how fast will the rate go from here?

The neutral rate is the rate the Bank thinks would be appropriate for an economy producing at full capacity, with inflation running at two percent. Most economists and market-watchers believe the overnight rate needs to go beyond neutral in order to fight inflation. Despite a one-month drop in the year-over-year increase in the CPI from 8.1 per cent in June to 7.6 per cent in July, inflation is a long way above the top end of the one-to-three per cent target range, let alone the two per cent target itself.

There is much less consensus, however, on whether the Bank should continue to hike interest rates aggressively or take a more cautious approach. There are good arguments on both sides.

Arguing for a more aggressive approach: though GDP growth is slowing, it was still strong in the second quarter (3.3 per cent on an annualized basis) and running above its full capacity. And though headline inflation fell, two of the three core measures of inflation — which strip out the more volatile components of the CPI — ticked up in July, while the third, “CPI-trim,” barely budged. These core measures ranged from 5 to 5.5 per cent — well above the target range.

The drop in headline inflation was mostly due to gas prices, with other components of the CPI accelerating, particularly services. And these other components are what the Bank has control over, meaning it has a long way to go to bring inflation back down.

Arguing for a more cautious approach: the Bank’s previous rate hikes have clearly started to bite. Housing markets have already cooled considerably since the beginning of the year. Increases in monthly mortgage payments will only occur with a lag as many Canadians have either fixed rates or fixed payments. But increases are coming and will inevitably lead to belt-tightening by consumers, which will feed through to demand.

Moreover, the growth of monetary aggregates, measuring everything from cash to bank deposits to Canada Savings bonds, has slowed considerably in recent months. Over the last few decades, money has fallen out of favour with central banks as an indicator of future inflation. But, as we recently argued, it is a better predictor of future inflation when inflation is unsettled – as it is now. This slowing of money growth will likely damp inflation further down the road.

Finally, the arithmetic: The Bank’s target is year-over-year inflation, which largely reflects price increases that happened six months or more ago. Even if all consumer prices levelled off completely starting this month, headline inflation would remain above target until well into next year. The Bank’s monetary policy framework is designed to be forward-looking (i.e., to hit its target six to eight quarters down the road), which means it must look past year-over-year inflation numbers, analyzing what month-over-month numbers are saying as well. The drop in the latest month-over-month number was driven by energy prices but it did come in below an annualized two per cent.

The Bank has come down on the side of significant front-end loading of interest rate increases, and the announcement that accompanied last week’s rate hike suggests more increases are to come. One reason the Bank has avoided even larger hikes is that getting inflation back to target is an inexact science. It is prudent to see how the economy reacts to what has been a significant change in rates over a short time.

The announcement discusses the many reasons why the Bank tightened as much as it did, but to us one rationale stands out — inflation expectations. In July’s Monetary Policy Report the Bank estimated inflation would return to the top end of the target range (i.e., three per cent) by the end of 2023 and return to target by the end of 2024, or in roughly two years. But the latest Bank data on two-year-ahead inflation expectations, compiled in the Business Outlook Survey for the second quarter, suggests almost 80 per cent of respondents think inflation will remain above three per cent at that time.

The third-quarter survey on expectations, which is due in mid-October, will be a good indicator of whether the two most recent rate hikes — totalling 175 basis points — have changed the expectations calculus. If expectations are down and if the actual inflation numbers for August — both year-over-year and month-over-month — show broad indications of cooling, it will be time to slow down rate hikes. Otherwise, the Bank will have to maintain or even pick up the pace.

This article is courtesy of the Financial Post


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

trigger rate

Consumer Matters: Remortgaging during soaring interest rates

General Angela Calla 9 Sep

Recently we were interviewed by Global News to talk about the surging remortgaging numbers as interest rates continue to increase.

“People are going from being in fixed rates of two percent to the high fours and  even fives, so on a $500,000 mortgage you could see a payment increase of up to $500 a month”

In these uncertain times, having a mortgage strategy is critical. We consider these steps crucial in part of your mortgage plan:

  • Do not wait on your renewal date
  • Get a rate hold in
  • Do not just sign the renewal with your existing lender
  • Approach an independent mortgage professional to review all the options

If you are currently on a variable rate and wonder if you should lock in, it is all dependent on your own level of risk tolerance. “With a variable rate mortgage, you should review the discount you have, you should review your financial plan if you plan on moving or making any lifestyle changes in the next five years, and you should understand what a fixed rate option is today.”


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

Fall Home Prep!

General Angela Calla 9 Sep

With Fall just around the corner, here are some of my favourite (and helpful!) home prep tips to help you be ready for the upcoming season.

Following these tips will ensure everything continues running well into the colder months!

  • Inspect Your Gutters: This time of year it is important to clean and inspect your gutters (replacing as needed) to ensure they are working properly as the rain and snow season hits. If they are clogged or damaged, it could result in a flooded interior and damaged exterior so don’t wait!
  • Check for Drafts: In the Fall and Winter, many homeowners are spending extra money heating their homes due to drafts, but it doesn’t have to be that way! Do a check on all exterior doors and windows to confirm if they are properly sealed. To do this, simply close a door or window on a strip of paper. If the paper slides easily, you need to update your weatherstripping.
  • Have Your Furnace Inspected: In Canada we are no strangers to chilly evenings! To ensure you are comfortable throughout the colder months, be sure to have your furnace inspected by an HVAC professional. They can check leaks, test efficiency, and change the filter. They can also conduct a carbon monoxide check to ensure air safety.
  • Fix Any Concrete/Asphalt Cracks: This one is easy to ignore thinking it will be fine, but it could easily turn into a bigger issue. When water gets into existing cracks during the colder months it will freeze and expand, causing the crack to become even larger.
  • Turn Off Outdoor Plumbing: Since your garden will not need attention until the Spring, it is a good idea to shut off and drain all outdoor faucets and sprinkler systems. Depending on where you live, you might also want to cover them to prevent freezing during the Winter months.

Change Your Batteries: It is a good idea annually to check that all smoke detectors and carbon monoxide devices are working. While you’re doing your Fall and Winter home preparations, this is a good time to test your existing gadgets.

This article is courtesy of the DLC September Newsletter


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

Back-to-School Credit Clean-Up!

General Angela Calla 8 Sep

It’s time to go back to school… for your finances! The fall is the perfect time for a credit clean-up so that you are ready for the holiday spending season – and anything else the year can throw at you!

When it comes to cleaning up credit, there is no better time than now to recognize the importance of your credit score and check if you are on track with your habits.

To get started with your credit clean-up, there are a few things you can do:

  1. Pull Your Credit Report: For most of us, our credit score is something we only think about when we need it. However, if you are unsure of where you stand, this is a great time to find out! The Fair Credit Reporting Act lets you get one free credit report every year through Equifax or TransUnion. Pulling your own credit report results in a “soft” inquiry on your report and will not affect your credit score. Click here to get your free credit report today!
  1. If You Find Errors, Dispute Them: When doing your annual credit score review, it is a good idea to go through line-by-line and confirm no errors. If you find any errors, report and dispute them immediately as they could be affecting your score.
  1. Consolidate Your Loans: One of the best tips for managing your credit and working towards future financial success, is to consolidate your debt. Consolidating debt means reducing multiple loans to a single monthly payment, which typically has a lower interest rate allowing you to maximize spend on the principal amount.

Once you have put the effort into cleaning up your credit, you will want to keep it that way! A few tips for maintaining your credit and maximizing your financial future include:

  1. Pay Your Bills: This seems pretty straight forward, but it is not that simple. You not only have to pay the bills, but you have to do so in full AND on time whenever possible.  Paying bills on time is one of the key behaviours lenders and creditors look for when deciding to grant you a loan or mortgage. If you are unable to afford the full amount, a good tip is to at least pay the minimum required as shown on your monthly statement to prevent any flags on your account.
  1. Pay Your Debts: Whether you have credit card debt, a car loan, line of credit or a mortgage, the goal should be to pay your debt off as quickly as possible. To make the most impact, start by paying the lowest debt items first and then work towards the larger amounts. By removing the low debt items, you also remove the interest payments on those loans which frees up money that can be put towards paying off larger items.
  1. Stay Within Your Limit: This is key when it comes to managing debt and maintaining a good credit score. Using all or most of your available credit is not advised. Your goal should be to use 30% or less of your available credit. For instance, if you have a limit of $1000 on your credit card, you should never go over $700.

NOTE: If you find you need more credit, it is better to increase the limit versus utilizing more than 70% of what is available each month.

Whether you qualify for a mortgage through a bank, credit union or other financial institution, you should be aiming for a credit score of 680 for at least one borrower (or guarantor). If you are ready to start your home-buying journey, or are looking to refinance your existing mortgage, I’d love to help review your credit score and financial information to get you the most from your money.

This article is courtesy of the DLC September Newsletter


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

Bank of Canada Hiked Overnight Rate by 75 BPS to 3.25% With More to Come

General Angela Calla 8 Sep

The Bank of Canada Hiked Rates Again And Isn’t Finished Yet

The Governing Council of the Bank of Canada raised its target for the overnight policy rate by 75 basis points today to 3.25% and signalled that the policy rate would rise further. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening (QT), reducing its holdings of Government of Canada bonds, which puts additional upward pressure on longer-term interest rates.

While some Bay Street analysts believed this would be the last tightening move this cycle, the central bank’s press release has dissuaded them of this notion. There has been a misconception regarding the so-called neutral range for the overnight policy rate. With inflation at 2%, the Bank of Canada economists estimated some time ago that the neutral range for the policy rate was 2%-to-3%, leading some to believe that the Bank would only need to raise their policy target to just above 3%. However, the neutral range is considerably higher, with overall inflation at 7.6% and core inflation measures rising to 5.0%-to-5.5%. In other words, 3.25% is no longer sufficiently restrictive to temper domestic demand to levels consistent with the 2% inflation target.

As the Bank points out in today’s statement, though Q2 GDP growth in Canada was slower than expected at 3.3%, domestic demand indicators were robust – “consumption grew by about 9.5%, and business investment was up by close to 12%. With higher mortgage rates, the housing market is pulling back as anticipated, following unsustainable growth during the pandemic.”

Wage rates continue to rise, and labour markets are exceptionally tight, with job vacancies at record levels. We will know more on the labour front with the release of the August jobs report this Friday. But the Bank is concerned that rising inflation expectations risk embedding wage and price gains. To forestall this, the policy interest rate will need to rise further.

Traders are now betting that another 50-bps rate hike is likely when the Governing Council meets again on October 25th. There is another meeting this year on December 6th. I expect the policy rate to end the year at 4%.

Bottom Line

The implications of today’s Bank of Canada action are considerable for the housing market. The prime rate will now quickly rise to 5.45%, increasing the variable mortgage interest rate another 75 bps, which will likely take the qualifying rate to roughly 7%.

Fixed mortgage rates, tied to the 5-year government of Canada bond yield, will also rise, but not nearly as much. The 5-year yield has reversed some of its immediate post-announcement spike and remains at about 3.27% (see charts below). Expectations of an economic slowdown have muted the impact of higher short-term interest rates on longer-term bond yields. This inversion of the yield curve is consistent with the expectation of a mild recession next year. It is noteworthy that the Bank omitted the usual comment on a soft landing in the economy in today’s press release. Bank economists realize that the price paid for inflation control might well be at least a mild recession.

Another implication of today’s policy rate hike is the prospect of fixed-payment variable-rate mortgages taken at the meagre yields of 2021 and 2022, hitting their trigger rate. There is a good deal of uncertainty around how many these will be, as the terms vary from loan to loan, but it is another factor that will overhang the economy in the next year.

We maintain the view that the economy will slow considerably in the second half of this year and through much of 2023. The Bank of Canada will hold the target policy rate at its ultimate high point– at least one or two hikes away– through much of 2023, if not beyond. A return to 2% inflation will not occur until at least 2024, and (as Governor Macklem says) the Bank’s job is not finished until then.

 

This article is courtesy of the Sherry Cooper Assoc.


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

Bank of Canada Announcement – September 2022

General Angela Calla 7 Sep

As expected, the Bank of Canada has raised its prime rate by 0.75%. What this means is that your monthly payments will increase by approx. $42 per $100,000 on your mortgage if you are on a variable rate mortgage. Here is the Bank of Canada statement. What this translates to is a prime rate held by most banks of 5.45%As always, fixed-rate mortgages are not affected by this change.

Current lock-in rates are sitting at over 5%, so many are staying with their variable-rate mortgage to keep cash flow freed up. Locking-in means an expectation for rates to go beyond 6% and to stay there for a significant amount of time. While we can’t predict when this will stop or how long this will last here is an interesting article that shows the last 30 years of cycles with interest rates.

It should be noted the Bank has indicated they are not done with hikes. A mortgage strategy for any upcoming renewal by starting early, refinancing to consolidate payments and improving cash flow will be key as we go through these changing economic times. Here is a segment we did on this for Global News.

For a more in-depth analysis from us, here is a post detailing today’s change and its impacts. As well, if you are looking to contact your lender, you can find their email HERE.

The Angela Calla Mortgage Team is here to guide you with your mortgage always, if you have any questions please reach out to us at callateam@countoncalla.ca


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

Understanding Mortgage Trigger Points

General Angela Calla 6 Sep

As we move into the Fall market, there are some important things you should be aware of.

While inflation has now likely peaked, we will still be dealing with the repercussions from these heightened levels for a while before things balance out. As inflation is corrected, we are also seeing home prices moving back to normal post-pandemic era.

However, we are still anticipating some final rate hikes from the Bank of Canada coming into the fall.

With that in mind, now is an important time to discuss what this means for your mortgage – specifically in regards to trigger points. Another increase in rates on the horizon will put many variable-rate borrowers near their mortgage trigger points – even for fixed payments.

While static payment variable-rate mortgages are not designed to fluctuate with prime, the reality is that a mortgage payment consistent of two components: your principle and your interest. With the existing rates and subsequent increases expected in the fall, the amount paid towards principle has decreased with an increase in the amount of interest on a static mortgage. For instance, if you are paying $2000 a month on your mortgage, only $200 might be going towards the principle with the rest covering interest. An additional increase to the interest rate, means that your interest portion will spike again and may actually exceed your total payment. When this occurs, it is called hitting your trigger rate.

You can calculate your own trigger rate with the following formula: (Payment amount X number of payments per year / balance owing) X 100) to get your trigger rate in percentage.

If you have reached your trigger rate, don’t panic. You are certainly not alone and there are options:

  1. Adjust Your Payment: Firstly, you may choose to adjust your payment amount to ensure that you still have some going towards your principal balance.
  2. Review Your Amortization Schedule: Consider switching your amortization schedule from 20-year to 25-year which would be ideal if you already have equity in your home. However, if you’re already at your maximum amortization for your lender (i.e. 30-year mortgage), you would need to increase your payment.
  3. Switch to a Fixed-Rate Mortgage: Many borrowers are now choosing to opt for a fixed-rate mortgage to avoid the issue of increased interest and trigger rates. Keep in mind, depending on your mortgage product, you may face penalties if you switch your mortgage mid-term. Be sure to discuss any mortgage changes with me before going ahead.
  4. Pay Off Your Mortgage: The final option that is always there is for you to pay off your mortgage entirely. Though don’t fret if this is not possible!

While I understand words like “inflation” and “trigger rates” can be scary, as your dedicated mortgage professional I am here for you. I would be happy to discuss any concerns you have or help explain in more detail how these changes may impact your mortgage and what your options are.

This article is courtesy of the DLC September Newsletter


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage

What happens when a buyer backs out of a real estate deal?

General Angela Calla 2 Sep

When it comes to backing out of a real estate deal, the law doesn’t tend to side with the dealbreaker, says Ron Butler, a veteran mortgage broker and one of the founders of Butler Mortgage in Toronto. If you’re the buyer, “You should find a way to complete the sale—beg, borrow, do whatever you need to do—but close, because the case law overwhelmingly favours the seller,” he says, adding that the courts aren’t usually sympathetic towards the dealbreaker, no matter their reasons or motivations.

Julia Sebastian discovered this the hard way. She entered an agreement of purchase and sale for a $995,000 home on Glasshill Grove in the Erin Mills neighbourhood of Mississauga, Ont in May 2017. She seemed particularly eager. Not only did she offer $45,100 above asking, but she also waived the two conditions of adequate financing and a home inspection—a move intended to make her offer as attractive as possible.

Before the deal could close, the property was appraised for only $920,000, and as a result, Sebastian’s financing was denied. She later testified in court that this was the result of a sudden drop in Mississauga real estate prices, though there was little evidence to support that claim. Four days before her original close date in August 2017, her real estate lawyer sent an email to the sellers saying the deal was off.

The judge who oversaw the ensuing court battle didn’t agree with Sebastian’s sudden change of heart. As he put it, there is always the possibility that property values can drop before a deal closes. Sebastian’s case never made it to trial; the judge ruled against her in a summary judgement.

With Canadian housing prices falling from the pandemic’s all-time highs, a greater number of real estate deals seem to be falling apart. While there can be valid reasons for needing to back out, it’s a decision that can have serious financial consequences for buyers and sellers alike.

Can you back out of a real estate purchase? 

Roughly a decade ago, Toronto real estate agent Danielle Demerino got a call from a client of hers who had just closed on a house. The client’s wife didn’t like their new home–a classic case of buyer’s remorse. But simply undoing the deal wasn’t an option, Demerino says. She told her client buying a home was akin to having a baby—there’s no going back once the baby is born.

Buyers’ remorse pops up in all kinds of transactions, but due to the financial implications, real estate agents usually caution against letting feelings dictate whether or not to back out of a deal.

To ensure the purchase process goes smoothly, experts recommend you get pre-approved for a mortgage by a broker or lender. “I don’t let people sign contracts unless they’re very, very sure that they’re going to get financing,” Demerino says.

That said, financing does sometimes fall through, and that can kill a home transaction, no matter how badly you may want to close.

For this reason, Demerio says it’s important “to purchase reasonably and not in a heated market with a long closing. If the market changes, and values go down the property may not appraise and you’ll need to make up the difference.”

“Home buyers may desperately want to close their home,” she says, “but the banks won’t give them the money now that the value has dropped.”

Why there’s been a rise in failed real estate deals

Hard data on the total number of failed real estate deals per year in Canada is difficult to track down. But, anecdotally and according to media reports, there’s been an increase in failed closings in recent months.

Butler says not a single deal handled by his office in 2019 failed to close. That started to change this spring. The mortgage broker estimates that, between March and July 2022, the total failure rate for deals at his office reached about 6%. During that time, he says his office saw 10 separate transactions fall through.

The rise in failed closings comes as Canadian home prices fall from previously unheard-of highs. High inflation has forced the Bank of Canada (BoC) to aggressively raise interest rates, thereby raising the cost of borrowing. In turn, home prices are dropping, and they show few signs of slowing in the near future.

According to an RBC Economics report from July 2022, the Real Property Solutions/Royal Lepage national aggregate home price index could drop more than 12% by early 2023. That would make it the steepest decline since 1981, a period that includes four recessions.

What falling prices mean for home purchases

Home owners who want to move have two options: buy first or sell first. Selling your current property first helps dictate what you can afford to spend on your next house. But the situation is less certain when you buy first.

When homes’ appraised values drop quickly—as they have in the summer of 2022—anyone depending on the sale of their current home to buy their next one can find themselves in financial trouble.

Though it’s becoming unpopular as the market shifts, at the height of B.C.’s real estate market, it was common for buyers to purchase a new home prior to selling their current home, says Jesse Kleine, a real estate agent based in Vancouver. Based on his conversations with Ontario realtors, he says that practice appears more common in Ontario, where appraisals are done after an offer has been accepted.

Home buyers who bought first—just before home values began to fall in the spring—may be stuck selling their current house and still come up short on the funds necessary to close the deal, he explains. To complicate matters further, as buyers tried to outdo one another in a fiercely competitive real estate market, many signed deals without having properly secured financing or paid for an adequate home inspection.

Angela Calla, a B.C. mortgage broker, says this trend happens every couple of years as housing supplies run short and bids go high. “We saw some buyers forced to come up with extra money, get co-signers at the last minute, or have to take a more expensive lending option,” she says.

Buyers’ obligations after inking a deal

The moment Sebastian signed an agreement of purchase and sale for the Mississauga, she made an ironclad commitment on those terms, including its $995,000 price tag.

However, before a deal reaches this final phase of the buying process, there are additional steps intended to give buyers and sellers a way out—which Sebastian does not appear to have seized.

After a buyer has ideally been pre-approved by a lender, made an offer on a home and struck a deal, the sale enters a “subject period,” Calla says. During that time—a negotiated timeframe of usually between five and seven business days—the buyer submits all of their documentation to their mortgage provider to ensure the property value and criteria all line up with what they’re able to afford and what the bank will approve.

The subject period also offers a buyer with cold feet a way out.

“At any point during that subject period… the buyer can say: ‘I’m no longer interested, I’m releasing myself of this,’” Calla says.

Once an agreement of purchase and sale is signed, however, a buyer is locked in—as is the seller.

Can a seller be sued for failing to close? 

While buyers can end up in the hot seat after a failed deal, buyers can also sue sellers who fail to uphold their end of the bargain.

In a case that went to court in 2020, for example, the seller refused to close on the sale of her Brampton, Ont., home because she felt she should have been paid more than $835,000. During the subsequent lawsuit, the buyers demanded “specific performance,” or a court-ordered sale of the home as promised. The judge ruled that the seller and her husband had four months to vacate their home and complete the sale.

The real costs of backing out 

Sebastian’s decision to back out the deal for the Mississauga home had immediate implications for the sellers, Wonkyun Bang and Eunkyung Moon.

Because Sebastian didn’t buy, Bang and Moon were forced to keep their home. They had already signed a contract of their own to purchase an Oakville home and were relying on the sale of their current one to complete it. So, they re-listed the Mississauga home, but it didn’t sell for seven months.

Once it eventually traded hands with new buyers for $920,000, Bang and Moon sued Sebastian in court for damages. Their lawyers argued they deserved Sebastian’s $35,000 deposit—and then some. And they got it.

In his ruling, the judge ordered Sebastian to pay Bang and Moon $75,000—the difference between the original sale price and what their home eventually sold for. Then, he added nearly $33,000 in damages to cover the seller’s financing costs between deals; he tacked on $1,200 for utilities, some $3,000 for property taxes, $800 for insurance, and $6,000 for staging expenses. Including compensation for their legal fees, the damages totalled more than $122,200.

Calla says damages in these types of cases can be extensive. “Everybody’s journey is unique, but there is absolutely no way it is limited to [the] deposit [on the home],” she says. “In most cases you can absolutely expect it to be more.”

What other options do buyers’ have? 

As a buyer, you have few options when it comes to successfully backing out of a real estate deal. If it’s financing or the sale of your current home that prevents you from completing the deal, negotiating for a lower price on the home might be an option, says Butler. After all, litigation is messy, time-consuming and onerous for everyone involved. Many people prefer to avoid ligation at all costs.

In most cases, it’s best for both parties to find some way to close the deal. If you’re buying a home, it’s critical to get pre-approved and to follow professional advice before putting an offer on a home. Understanding your legal obligations and what can happen if your financial situation changes during the closing period is especially important when the real estate market is turning quickly, as it is right now.

Ultimately, following through on a less-than-ideal purchase is often better than risking the alternative: years of courtroom testimony, and potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars in damages or a court-ordered purchase of a home you no longer want.

This article is courtesy of MoneySense


Angela Calla is an 18-year award-winning woman of influence which sets her apart from the rest. Alongside her team, Angela passionately assists mortgage holders in acquiring the best possible mortgage. Through her presence on “The Mortgage Show” and through her best-selling book “The Mortgage Code, Angela educates prospective home buyers by providing vital information on mortgages. 

In August of 2020, at the young age of 37, Angela surpassed $1 Billion dollars in funded personal mortgages. In light of this, her success awarded her with the 2020Business Leader of the Year Award.

Angela is a frequent go-to source for media and publishers across the country. For media interviews, speaking inquiries, or personal mortgage assistance, please contact Angela at hello@countoncalla.ca or at 604-802-3983.

Click here to view the latest news on our blog. 

mortgage